Predict

What Predict does

Predict.fun is a BNB Chain-native prediction market protocol where users trade shares on the outcomes of real-world events across sports, politics, crypto, finance, esports, and culture. The platform supports binary yes/no markets, multi-outcome markets (e.g., 50+ outcomes on UEFA Euro 2028), and short-interval up/down markets on crypto assets (5-minute to 1-day). Core technical infrastructure consists of UMA's Optimistic Oracle for trustless market resolution (settling in approximately two hours if undisputed, escalating to token-holder vote if challenged), Chainlink for high-speed data feeds powering 15-minute automated crypto markets, and Venus Protocol integration that generates 3-5% APY yield on open position collateral. Users access the platform through a non-custodial smart contract wallet stack built on Privy and ZeroDev, eliminating seed phrases and manual approvals.

The business operates a transaction-based revenue model, taking a fee on completed trades and offering maker rebates (currently a 25% rebate promotion on up/down markets through September 2026) plus a 10% invite-referral discount. Customer segments include retail crypto traders, sports bettors (targeting events like the World Cup, NFL, NBA, LALIGA, Serie A, and esports tournaments), political observers, macroeconomic indicator traders, and an emerging institutional block-trading tier for 100,000+ share orders served via Susquehanna Crypto liquidity. Go-to-market combines a product-led self-serve platform with a gamified Predict Points loyalty leaderboard, event-driven promotions (the Predict Cup World Cup promotion featured a $2M prize pool with 186,700+ players and 380M+ orders), and an embedded distribution channel through Binance Wallet that gives access to hundreds of millions of Binance users with gasless transactions sponsored by Binance. Since launching in December 2025, Predict has processed $1.8B+ cumulative trading volume across 130,000+ users and 4M+ orders, acquired competitor Probable in March 2026, and is backed by YZi Labs (Binance-affiliated) and Susquehanna Crypto.

Name

Predict

Legal name

Predict.fun

Website

https://predict.fun

Company type

Private

Founded year

2025

Operating status

Operating

Short description

Predict.fun is a BNB Chain-native prediction market protocol where retail and institutional users trade on real-world event outcomes across sports, politics, and crypto, with yield-generating open positions and Binance Wallet distribution.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Prediction Markets

NAICS

Securities and Commodity Exchanges (523210), Securities and Commodity Exchanges (52321), Financial Transactions Processing, Reserve, and Clearinghouse Activities (522320)

SIC

Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (6200), Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers (6221)

akta.pro primary industry

Prediction Markets & Event Derivatives (Crypto) (FSADAGAG)

akta.pro secondary industries

Prediction Markets & Event-Based On-Chain Trading (FSADABAM), Prediction Markets & Information Finance (FSADAMAJ)

Keywords

• Prediction market protocol
• On-chain event trading
• DeFi prediction markets
• Sports betting protocol
• Crypto price forecasting

GTM type

B2C

Offering type

Software

Cost components

Technology or R&D, Personnel, Marketing or Sales, Operations, Infrastructure

Revenue model

1. Trading Transaction Fees: Predict earns revenue through a take fee on completed trades. Maker rebates are offered, with a 25% maker rebate promotion active on up/down markets. Invite referrals provide 10% fee discounts to invited users.
2. Block Trading Services: White-glove block trading service for institutional traders purchasing 100,000+ shares, with Susquehanna Crypto providing liquidity. Revenue is generated through transaction fees on large-volume P2P matched trades.

Pricing tiers

Go-to-market motion3 records

Distribution channels4 records

Marketing channels6 records

Core offering

Predict is a BNB Chain-native prediction market protocol where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events across sports, politics, crypto, esports, and macroeconomic indicators. The platform supports binary, multi-outcome, and short-interval up/down markets, with shares priced between $0.01 and $0.99 settling at $1 on correct outcomes. It differentiates through yield generation on open position collateral via Venus Protocol and trustless market resolution via UMA's Optimistic Oracle.

Product overview

Predict operates as a unified prediction market platform on BNB Chain, offering a core trading protocol where users bet on real-world event outcomes across sports, politics, crypto, finance, economy, esports, and culture. The product portfolio includes the main Predict trading platform, Block Trading for institutional large-volume trades, the Predict Points loyalty program, and an Invite referral system. Predict integrates with Venus Protocol for yield on open positions, UMA's Optimistic Oracle for trustless resolution, Chainlink for high-speed data feeds, and Binance Wallet for seamless access. The platform acquired Probable in March 2026 and partners with Fortune for AI Bot functionality. Predict is the official prediction market provider for Binance.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Products and services

• Predict Predict is the BNB-native prediction market protocol where users trade on outcomes of real-world events including politics, sports, crypto, esports, and current affairs. The platform differentiates through yield mechanisms via Venus Protocol on open positions and trustless resolution through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. It is the official prediction market provider for Binance, accessible via predict.fun and the Binance Wallet app with gasless transactions.
• Block Trading Block Trading is an institutional-grade on-chain block trading service for large-volume orders requiring 100,000+ shares on any live market. Features concierge P2P counterparty matching off the public order book with liquidity provided by Susquehanna Crypto, enabling large orders to execute in a single transaction without market impact.

Quantifiable outcome

• Processed $1.8B+ cumulative trading volume with 130,000+ users and 4M+ orders since December 2025 launch
• +3 more outcomes

Named customers2 records

Segments5 records

Ideal customer profiles3 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

Integration9 records

Feature5 records

Partnerships

Six partnerships are on record, tiered core and minor.

• ChainlinkcoreTechnology or Integration · 27 April 2026Chainlink adopted as core infrastructure powering 15-minute automated prediction markets, starting with BTC. Chainlink's data and orchestration standards enable near-instant settlement for high-frequency market types, scaling the platform's high-speed prediction market capabilities.
• BinancecoreChannel Partner/ Reseller/ Distributor · 9 April 2026Binance integrated Predict.fun as its official prediction market provider on April 9, 2026, with one-click access through Binance Wallet app. Binance sponsors all gas and settlement fees for prediction market trading, enabling seamless onboarding for Binance's hundreds of millions of users. Users can trade using existing Spot and Funding accounts with Market and Limit order support.
• Four.mememinorStrategic or Co-development Partner · 1 April 2026Four.meme, BNB Chain's memecoin launchpad, partnered with Predict to expand into memecoin-themed prediction markets. The partnership launched new weekly and monthly markets centered around memecoins and related metrics, combining Predict's market infrastructure with Four.meme's memecoin ecosystem.
• ProbablecoreOthers · 4 March 2026Predict.fun acquired Probable, an onchain prediction platform originally incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs, on March 4, 2026. Probable users migrated to Predict with double USDT fee reimbursement and favorable point conversion ratios. The acquisition unified two BNB-affiliated prediction platforms and combined Probable's Chinese-market localization operations with Predict's interest-generating Venus Protocol integration.
• UMAcoreTechnology or Integration · 1 March 2026UMA's Optimistic Oracle powers trustless market resolutions on Predict. Outcomes settle in approximately two hours if undisputed, or escalate to a token holder vote if challenged. Predict is described as UMA's favored prediction market partner on BNB Chain, enabling automated resolutions for new markets.
• Venus ProtocolcoreTechnology or Integration · 1 December 2025Venus Protocol integration enables yield generation on open position collateral. Approximately $9.6M of Predict's $16M TVL is deployed through Venus for 3-5% yields. Open positions automatically earn interest via Venus while waiting for market resolution, converting idle trading capital into working capital.

Scale indicators7 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights8 records

Direct peers

• Polymarket: Polymarket is the largest blockchain-based prediction market, hosting event contracts on politics, sports, crypto, and current affairs. It is Predict's primary direct competitor, operating on its own chain with significantly deeper liquidity and broader brand recognition.
• Kalshi: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US prediction market exchange offering event contracts on economics, politics, and current affairs. It competes for the same prediction market use cases as Predict but operates within US regulatory frameworks, providing a compliance-first alternative.
• Limitless Labs: Limitless Labs operates an on-chain prediction market on Base focused on crypto and trending events. It shares Predict's blockchain-native prediction market model and competes for similar crypto-native trader audiences on an alternative L2.
• Myriad Markets: Myriad is a multi-chain prediction market that expanded from Linea's ecosystem. It directly competes with Predict across similar event categories (crypto, sports, politics) with parallel functionality in on-chain prediction contracts.
• Azuro: Azuro is a decentralized prediction market and sports betting infrastructure protocol. It provides on-chain liquidity and tooling for prediction events, overlapping with Predict's sports and event market focus while serving as infrastructure for third-party operators.
• SX Bet: SX Bet operates as an on-chain sports betting exchange on SX Network (formerly SportX). It is a direct competitor in the crypto sports prediction market space, focusing on sports outcomes with peer-to-peer matching.

Emerging players

• Zeitgeist: Zeitgeist is a Polkadot-based prediction market protocol with smaller liquidity. It overlaps with Predict in core functionality (event-based markets) but is built on a different chain ecosystem with limited mainstream traction.

Broad incumbents

• DraftKings: DraftKings is a leading US-regulated sports betting and daily fantasy operator. While operating in a different regulatory regime, it competes for the same sports prediction engagement that drives significant volume on Predict, especially during major events like the NFL season.
• FanDuel: FanDuel is a major US sports betting and prediction operator. It captures sports prediction dollars that could otherwise flow to on-chain venues like Predict, representing a broad incumbent threat especially as regulated platforms add event contract functionality.
• Betfair: Betfair is a global betting exchange offering peer-to-peer markets on sports and events. As an established exchange-style betting venue, it is comparable in market mechanics to Predict while operating as a regulated incumbent outside crypto.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat5 records

Key risks7 records

Key highlights8 records

Customer concentration

• Xx.com/predictdotfun

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Subsidiaries1 record

Funding overview

Funding rounds1 record

Investors2 records

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A1 record

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about Predict