The Centre For Long-term Resilience

What The Centre For Long-term Resilience does

The Centre for Long-term Resilience (CLTR) is a London-based non-profit think tank that conducts research and produces policy recommendations on extreme risks, with particular focus on AI safety, biosecurity, and government risk management. The organisation is registered as a charity (charity number 1194331) and operates under the legal entity name Alpenglow Group Limited. CLTR builds evidence-based tools and frameworks designed to inform government policy and institutional decision-making on emerging catastrophic and existential threats.

Its core product suite is research-driven rather than commercial software. Flagship offerings include the Loss of Control Observatory — an open-source intelligence platform that monitors AI scheming behaviour across frontier model evaluations (covering approximately 183,000 transcripts) — and the Global Risk Index for AI-enabled Biological Tools, produced in partnership with RAND Europe. Additional outputs include the Defensive Acceleration Framework, which analyses how governments can responsibly accelerate beneficial technologies. CLTR does not train its own AI models but applies large language models as analytical instruments within its research methodology. The organisation also produces policy submissions, parliamentary briefings, and reports consumed directly by UK Government departments (DSIT, Cabinet Office, MoD, DHSC) and international bodies.

CLTR is funded through charitable donations and grants rather than government contracts, and explicitly states it does not receive UK government funding. It employs roughly 20 staff, with senior hires spanning AI policy, biosecurity, and government advisory roles. The organisation reports turning away approximately 75% of incoming work requests due to capacity constraints, signalling demand materially exceeds current supply.

Name

The Centre For Long-term Resilience

Legal name

Alpenglow Group Limited

Website

https://longtermresilience.org

Company type

Private

Founded year

2021

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

11–50 employees

Short description

The Centre for Long-term Resilience is a London-based non-profit think tank producing research, policy frameworks, and analytical tools to help governments manage extreme risks from AI and biotechnology.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Policy Research and Advisory Services

NAICS

Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities (541720), National Security and International Affairs (9281)

SIC

International Affairs (9721)

akta.pro primary industry

Emergency Management & National Resilience (Civil Protection) (BPAIAAAI)

akta.pro secondary industries

Business Continuity, Crisis Management & Operational Resilience (BPAHAFAK), Critical Infrastructure & Healthcare Continuity (HPP/COOP) (HLAJAGAH)

Keywords

• Extreme risk research
• AI policy advisory
• Biosecurity policy
• Government risk management
• Resilience policy think tank

Headquarters

HQ city

London

HQ country

United Kingdom

HQ region

Europe

Offices1 record

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Services

Cost components

Personnel, Operations, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales, Others

Revenue model

1. Donations and charitable grants: CLTR is a registered non-profit company (registered as Alpenglow Group Limited) that relies on voluntary donations and grants from individuals, foundations, and companies. The organisation explicitly states it does not receive government funding. Donations can be one-time gifts or monthly commitments. The organisation currently turns down 75% of requested work due to capacity constraints, indicating high dependence on available funding.

Go-to-market motion1 record

Distribution channels1 record

Marketing channels5 records

Core offering

The Centre for Long-term Resilience (CLTR) is an independent, non-partisan think tank that conducts policy research and provides advisory services focused on extreme risks from AI, biological threats, and government risk management failures. Its core offerings include original research reports, policy frameworks (such as the Loss of Control Observatory and Defensive Acceleration Framework), expert advice and red-teaming for government departments, and facilitated expert placements into government roles.

Product overview

CLTR is an independent think tank that produces policy research and advisory services focused on transforming global resilience to extreme risks, particularly from AI and biological threats. The organisation's primary offerings are its research methodologies (notably the Loss of Control Observatory), policy reports and publications, and strategic partnership programmes for funders. It does not offer commercial software products but rather knowledge products including research frameworks, policy recommendations, and expert advisory services across its three focus areas: AI risk, biosecurity, and government risk management.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Products and services

• Loss of Control Observatory A novel open-source intelligence (OSINT) methodology and prototype system to systematically detect and monitor AI scheming behaviours across all deployed AI models by analysing publicly shared transcripts of user interactions with AI systems. Developed for governments and policymakers concerned with AI safety.
• Strategic Partnerships Programme Structured engagement programme offering funders personalised support, tailored impact reports, expert access, and advocacy opportunities in exchange for financial contributions to CLTR's work on AI and biosecurity resilience.
• Loss of Control Policy Advisory Policy advisory service providing UK Government with recommendations on governing AI loss of control risks, including proposals to add the risk to the National Risk Register, designate lead departments, and introduce emergency powers for AI-related crises.

Quantifiable outcome

• Identified 698 real-world scheming-related AI incidents across 183,000 transcripts, with a 4.9x statistically significant increase over 5 months — no other actor currently performs this detection.
• +2 more outcomes

Named customers1 record

Segments2 records

Ideal customer profiles2 records

Technology focussed No

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability5 records

Feature3 records

Partnerships

Three partnerships are on record, tiered core.

• RAND EuropecoreStrategic or Co-development Partner · 9 September 2025CLTR collaborated with RAND Europe to develop the Global Risk Index for AI-enabled Biological Tools — a flexible framework to assess AI-enabled biological tools. RAND Europe contributed research capabilities and methodological expertise to this joint research programme.
• UK AI Security Institute (AISI)coreStrategic or Co-development Partner · 2 February 2025The UK AI Security Institute's Challenge Fund partially funded the Loss of Control Observatory project. CLTR retains full operational independence over the project. AISI is also referenced as a funder of the broader scheming-in-the-wild research that found a 5x increase in AI misbehavior incidents.
• UK AI Security InstitutecoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerCLTR's study on AI scheming incidents was funded by the UK's AI Security Institute, which operates as the UK's government body for frontier AI research and model testing.

Scale indicators7 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights5 records

Broad incumbents

• Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI): Non-profit organisation working to prevent catastrophic events from nuclear, biological, and chemical threats. Comparable to CLTR's biosecurity policy work in mission and in producing influential frameworks for global catastrophic risk governance.

Direct peers

• Centre for the Governance of AI (GovAI): Independent AI governance research organisation formerly based at Oxford that produces policy research and recommendations on frontier AI risks. Highly comparable to CLTR's AI Policy unit in mission, methodology, and target audience of policymakers and AI labs.
• Federation of American Scientists (FAS): Non-profit policy research organisation applying science and technology analysis to emerging risks including AI and biosecurity. Comparable to CLTR in combining technical expertise with policy advocacy and producing technical reports for policymakers.
• Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER): Cambridge-based research centre focused on existential and catastrophic risks from emerging technologies. Directly comparable to CLTR in combining academic research with policy advisory on extreme risks, and shares personnel (Dr Jess Whittlestone previously served as Deputy Director at CSER).
• RAND Europe: European policy research arm of the RAND Corporation that conducts independent research on global policy challenges. Already an active CLTR partner (Global Risk Index for AI-enabled Biological Tools), and comparable in mission, geography, and policy research methodology.
• International Biosecurity and Biosafety Initiative for Science (IBBIS): Non-profit focused on strengthening biosecurity and biosafety norms for life sciences research. Comparable to CLTR's Biosecurity Policy Unit in mission and in producing policy recommendations for governments on biological risk governance.
• Centre for AI Safety: AI safety research and advocacy organisation focused on reducing societal-scale risks from advanced AI. Comparable to CLTR's AI Policy and Loss of Control Observatory work, and a direct peer in advocating for AI risk governance with governments and frontier labs.
• Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence (CFI): Cambridge-based multi-disciplinary research centre studying the future implications of AI. Comparable to CLTR's AI Policy work, and shares personnel overlap (Dr Jess Whittlestone was previously Deputy Director of CFI's AI: Futures and Responsibility Programme).
• Future of Life Institute: Non-profit advocacy organisation focused on reducing extreme risks from transformative AI and other emerging technologies. Comparable to CLTR in combining AI and biosecurity policy advocacy, producing influential policy frameworks, and engaging directly with EU and US policymakers.

Emerging players

• Institute for the Future: Independent non-profit strategic foresight organisation producing forecasts and policy research on emerging technology and societal risks. Comparable to CLTR's Risk Management Policy unit in producing forward-looking analysis for institutional and government audiences.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat4 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights7 records

Customer concentration

• Xx.com/longresilience
• LinkedInlinkedin.com/company/longresilience

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles10 records

Funding overview

Funding rounds

Investors

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M&A

Investments

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Frequently asked questions about The Centre For Long-term Resilience