Cultivate Labs

What Cultivate Labs does

Cultivate Labs is a Chicago-headquartered software and services company that builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking systems for high-stakes decisions. Its core platform, Hinsley, is a living analytical workspace that combines scenario development, issue decomposition, indicator tracking, and AI-powered probability forecasting, with Cultivate Forecasts providing a crowdsourced collective-intelligence layer that can be run alongside or independently of the AI. The technical foundation is a method-constrained forecasting system that queries multiple frontier models (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, DeepSeek) in parallel with structured reasoning instructions grounded in analytic tradecraft, then aggregates the outputs into calibrated probability estimates with written rationales; a Hinsley AirGap variant ships as a Docker container running open-weights models (Llama, Mistral, Qwen, DeepSeek) inside the customer's security perimeter with zero external API calls for classified environments. Issue Decomposition Workshops and Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab training round out the professional-services revenue lines, with workshops priced from $20K per engagement.

Name

Cultivate Labs

Legal name

Cultivate Labs

Website

https://cultivatelabs.com

Company type

Private

Founded year

2012

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

1–10 employees

Short description

Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking platforms (Hinsley, Cultivate Forecasts) that combine frontier AI models with crowdsourced human judgment. It serves government, defense, finance, energy, pharma, and think-tank organizations with high-stakes strategic decision needs.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Decision Intelligence Software

NAICS

Software Publishers (513210)

SIC

Services-Prepackaged Software (7372)

akta.pro primary industry

End-to-End Enterprise AI Platforms (MLOps & Model Lifecycle Management) (HDAEANAA)

akta.pro secondary industry

AI/ML Engineering & Model Development Services (BPAEAHAF)

Keywords

• AI forecasting platform
• Decision intelligence software
• Crowdsourced prediction tools
• Scenario planning services
• Government analytics solutions

Headquarters

HQ city

Chicago

HQ country

United States

HQ region

North America

Offices4 records

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Software

Cost components

Personnel, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales, Operations

Revenue model

1. Software Platform Subscription: Hosted or on-premise forecasting platform enabling organizations to run crowdsourced forecasting efforts internally and externally. Provided as SaaS or on-premise deployment.
2. Professional Services - Decomposition Workshops: Consulting services including issue decomposition workshops to help organizations structure strategic uncertainty. Engagement begins at $20K for single workshop lifecycle or annual subscription with quarterly updates.
3. Training Services: Forecaster training curriculum (Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab) providing online training to teach forecasting skills.
4. AI Forecasting Add-on: AI Forecaster capability available as standalone or integrated with the forecasting platform, generating fast continuously updated probabilistic judgments.

Pricing tiers

Go-to-market motion3 records

Distribution channels4 records

Marketing channels7 records

Core offering

Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking software for high-stakes enterprise and government decisions. The Hinsley platform combines structured analysis, scenario development, issue decomposition, indicator tracking and probability forecasting, optionally augmented by AI-only forecasting (Hinsley AI Forecaster) or crowdsourced human forecasting (Cultivate Forecasts). Issue Decomposition Workshops and the Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab are professional service offerings layered on top of the platform.

Product overview

Cultivate Labs builds continuous sensemaking systems for high-stakes decisions, offered as a platform-plus-modules architecture. The core offering combines Hinsley (AI-driven decision intelligence platform with structured analysis, scenario development, and indicator tracking) with the Hinsley AI Forecaster (AI-powered continuous probability forecasting that updates in real-time) and Cultivate Forecasts (crowdsourced human collective intelligence). Hinsley AirGap provides a classified/air-gapped deployment variant for government and defense environments. Consulting services include Issue Decomposition Workshops that break down strategic issues into forecastable signals. The portfolio serves government, defense, finance, energy, and pharma sectors.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Brands

• Hinsley: AI-Driven Decision Intelligence platform - a living analytical workspace for structured analysis and sensemaking, tracking indicators and possible outcomes.
• Hinsley AI Forecaster
• Hinsley AirGap
• Cultivate Forecasts
• Issue Decomposition Workshops
• ARC (Analyst Research Companion)
• Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab

Products and services

• Hinsley AI-driven decision intelligence platform that provides structured analysis and sensemaking as a living analytical workspace; combines scenario development, decomposition, indicator tracking, AI forecasting and structured reasoning so enterprise and government teams can keep a continuously updated view of the world.
• Hinsley AI Forecaster AI-powered continuous probability forecasting product in which research agents monitor information sources on a schedule, multiple frontier AI models independently generate structured forecasts with rationales, and results are aggregated into calibrated probability estimates that update as conditions change. Available standalone or integrated with Hinsley and Cultivate Forecasts.
• Hinsley AirGap Air-gapped Docker deployment of the Hinsley platform for classified and sensitive environments; runs entirely inside the customer's security perimeter using open-weights LLMs (Llama, Mistral, Qwen, DeepSeek), supports bare metal, Kubernetes or internal VM infrastructure, and includes a one-way secure sync from open internet instances.
• Cultivate Forecasts Crowdsourced collective human intelligence platform that taps analysts, subject-matter experts or broader communities to generate probability estimates at scale; integrates with the Hinsley AI Forecaster for hybrid human-plus-AI forecasting.
• Issue Decomposition Workshops Consulting service that applies a methodology developed with U.S. national security agencies to break down complex strategic issues into drivers, signals and forecastable propositions; follows a four-step process of survey, live workshop, asynchronous research and framework delivery, with engagements starting at $20K for a single workshop lifecycle or annual subscription with quarterly updates.

Quantifiable outcome

• 30% improvement in forecast accuracy over intelligence analysts with classified access (IARPA-ACE research)
• +1 more outcomes

Named customers18 records

Segments4 records

Ideal customer profiles4 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability5 records

Feature7 records

Partnerships

Five partnerships are on record, tiered core and secondary.

• RAND CorporationcoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerCultivate provides the forecasting platform technology powering the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI), which transitioned the ARLIS INFER program. RAND brings RFI forecasts to their portfolio of projects flowing to government clients. Cultivate won competitive bidding to support RAND's efforts. RFI represents a flagship program for Cultivate with plans to scale massively in 2025.
• Bertelsmann Stiftung (North American)coreGTM or Marketing PartnerBertelsmann Stiftung's North American contingent in partnership with German colleagues leads RANGE (Rethinking Assumptions in a New Geostrategic Environment), a crowdsourced forecasting program focused on geopolitics and transatlantic relations. Cultivate co-facilitates workshops with Bertelsmann and runs forecasting tournaments on the RANGE platform.
• European Space Policy Institute (ESPI)secondaryStrategic or Co-development PartnerESPI co-facilitated a forecasting workshop on lunar diplomacy with Cultivate and Bertelsmann Foundation at the Spacetide conference in Tokyo. ESPI provides subject matter expertise on space policy for scenario development.
• PythosecondaryStrategic or Co-development PartnerPytho is a pioneering research partner for the Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab training curriculum. The curriculum builds on Pytho's research from the Good Judgment Project and Phil Tetlock's work, combined with Cultivate's own experience teaching forecasting concepts.
• UK Crown Commercial ServicecoreOthersCultivate Labs was awarded as a supplier on Crown Commercial Service's G-Cloud 14 framework after detailed vetting. This enables UK Government agencies, non-profits, and charities to easily procure Cultivate's cloud-hosted software and professional services through official government procurement channels.

Scale indicators4 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights7 records

Broad incumbents

• Recorded Future (Mastercard): Threat-intelligence platform using AI to monitor, analyze, and forecast risk signals for government and enterprise security teams. Overlaps Cultivate's national-security and intelligence use cases and competes for the same intelligence-community procurement budgets.
• Palantir Technologies: Large, established decision-intelligence and data-analytics platform with deep government, intelligence, and enterprise penetration. Competes with Cultivate in the 'AI-driven decision support for high-stakes decisions' category but at vastly broader scope (Gotham/Foundry/AIP) and scale.
• Dataminr: Real-time AI intelligence platform that detects early signals from public data for enterprise, news, and government clients. Comparable in serving the 'continuous situational awareness' use case that Cultivate's Hinsley AI Forecaster targets, but at substantially larger scale and broader customer base.
• DataRobot: Enterprise AI platform providing AutoML, model lifecycle management, and applied AI for prediction and forecasting across regulated industries. Comparable as an enterprise AI/forecasting platform targeting large financial, government, and pharma clients.
• C3.ai: Enterprise AI application platform offering pre-built and configurable AI solutions for industries including defense, finance, and energy. Comparable in the broader enterprise-AI-platform category, especially where Cultivate's pharma/energy/government customers overlap with C3.ai verticals.
• Domino Data Lab: Enterprise MLOps and AI platform used by large financial services and government organizations to develop, deploy, and monitor models. Adjacent to Cultivate's enterprise AI deployment, with overlap in regulated industries where model governance and audit trails are required.

Direct peers

• Good Judgment Inc: Commercial spin-out of the Good Judgment Project (Phil Tetlock), offering expert crowd forecasting and superforecaster programs to enterprise and government. Cultivate explicitly draws on the Good Judgment research base for its forecaster training curriculum, and both compete in the same AI/human hybrid forecasting category for government and finance clients.
• Metaculus: Public forecasting platform that aggregates probabilistic forecasts from a large community. Comparable to Cultivate's INFER and RANGE public-facing sites and to the underlying crowd-aggregation methodology used in Cultivate Forecasts.
• Primer.ai: AI platform purpose-built for intelligence analysts and enterprise research teams, providing automated monitoring, summarization, and entity analysis. Directly overlaps Cultivate's Hinsley and ARC offerings for the same government/financial analyst personas.
• Hypermind: Commercial prediction-market and crowd-forecasting platform that aggregates expert and crowd forecasts for enterprise clients. Directly comparable to Cultivate Forecasts' collective-intelligence offering and shares the same AI-augmented crowd-forecasting value proposition.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat6 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights6 records

Customer concentration

• Xx.com/cultivatelabs
• Facebookfacebook.com/cultivatelabsinc
• LinkedInlinkedin.com/company/cultivatelabs

Compliance1 record

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles7 records

Funding overview

Funding rounds

Investors

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about Cultivate Labs