Cultivate Labs
Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking platforms (Hinsley, Cultivate Forecasts) that combine frontier AI models with crowdsourced human judgment. It serves government, defense, finance, energy, pharma, and think-tank organizations with high-stakes strategic decision needs.
- Company typePrivate
- Founded2012
- HeadquartersChicago, United States
- Headcount1–10
- GTM typeB2B
- OfferingSoftware
What Cultivate Labs does
Cultivate Labs is a Chicago-headquartered software and services company that builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking systems for high-stakes decisions. Its core platform, Hinsley, is a living analytical workspace that combines scenario development, issue decomposition, indicator tracking, and AI-powered probability forecasting, with Cultivate Forecasts providing a crowdsourced collective-intelligence layer that can be run alongside or independently of the AI. The technical foundation is a method-constrained forecasting system that queries multiple frontier models (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, DeepSeek) in parallel with structured reasoning instructions grounded in analytic tradecraft, then aggregates the outputs into calibrated probability estimates with written rationales; a Hinsley AirGap variant ships as a Docker container running open-weights models (Llama, Mistral, Qwen, DeepSeek) inside the customer's security perimeter with zero external API calls for classified environments. Issue Decomposition Workshops and Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab training round out the professional-services revenue lines, with workshops priced from $20K per engagement.
Cultivate Labs firmographics
Firmographics- Name
- Cultivate Labs
- Legal name
- Cultivate Labs
- Website
- https://cultivatelabs.com
- Company type
- Private
- Founded year
- 2012
- Operating status
- Operating
- Headcount range
- 1–10 employees
- Short description
- Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking platforms (Hinsley, Cultivate Forecasts) that combine frontier AI models with crowdsourced human judgment. It serves government, defense, finance, energy, pharma, and think-tank organizations with high-stakes strategic decision needs.
- Ownership category
- akta.pro rank
Cultivate Labs industry classification
Industry- Product category
- Decision Intelligence Software
- NAICS
- Software Publishers (513210)
- SIC
- Services-Prepackaged Software (7372)
- akta.pro primary industry
- End-to-End Enterprise AI Platforms (MLOps & Model Lifecycle Management) (HDAEANAA)
- akta.pro secondary industry
- AI/ML Engineering & Model Development Services (BPAEAHAF)
Keywords
Where Cultivate Labs is headquartered
LocationHeadquarters
- HQ city
- Chicago
- HQ country
- United States
- HQ region
- North America
Offices4 records
Markets served
Cultivate Labs business model
Business model- GTM type
- B2B
- Offering type
- Software
- Cost components
- Personnel, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales, Operations
Revenue model
- Software Platform Subscription: Hosted or on-premise forecasting platform enabling organizations to run crowdsourced forecasting efforts internally and externally. Provided as SaaS or on-premise deployment.
- Professional Services - Decomposition Workshops: Consulting services including issue decomposition workshops to help organizations structure strategic uncertainty. Engagement begins at $20K for single workshop lifecycle or annual subscription with quarterly updates.
- Training Services: Forecaster training curriculum (Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab) providing online training to teach forecasting skills.
- AI Forecasting Add-on: AI Forecaster capability available as standalone or integrated with the forecasting platform, generating fast continuously updated probabilistic judgments.
Pricing tiers
| Model | Billing | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Subscription | Multi-year contract | Single Decomposition Workshop Lifecycle |
| Subscription | Annual | Annual Decomposition Subscription |
Go-to-market motion3 records
Distribution channels4 records
Marketing channels7 records
Cultivate Labs product offering
Product offeringCore offering
Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking software for high-stakes enterprise and government decisions. The Hinsley platform combines structured analysis, scenario development, issue decomposition, indicator tracking and probability forecasting, optionally augmented by AI-only forecasting (Hinsley AI Forecaster) or crowdsourced human forecasting (Cultivate Forecasts). Issue Decomposition Workshops and the Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab are professional service offerings layered on top of the platform.
Product overview
Cultivate Labs builds continuous sensemaking systems for high-stakes decisions, offered as a platform-plus-modules architecture. The core offering combines Hinsley (AI-driven decision intelligence platform with structured analysis, scenario development, and indicator tracking) with the Hinsley AI Forecaster (AI-powered continuous probability forecasting that updates in real-time) and Cultivate Forecasts (crowdsourced human collective intelligence). Hinsley AirGap provides a classified/air-gapped deployment variant for government and defense environments. Consulting services include Issue Decomposition Workshops that break down strategic issues into forecastable signals. The portfolio serves government, defense, finance, energy, and pharma sectors.
Differentiator
Problem solved
Functional benefit
Brands
- Hinsley: AI-Driven Decision Intelligence platform - a living analytical workspace for structured analysis and sensemaking, tracking indicators and possible outcomes.
- Hinsley AI Forecaster
- Hinsley AirGap
- Cultivate Forecasts
- Issue Decomposition Workshops
- ARC (Analyst Research Companion)
- Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab
Products and services
- Hinsley AI-driven decision intelligence platform that provides structured analysis and sensemaking as a living analytical workspace; combines scenario development, decomposition, indicator tracking, AI forecasting and structured reasoning so enterprise and government teams can keep a continuously updated view of the world.
- Hinsley AI Forecaster AI-powered continuous probability forecasting product in which research agents monitor information sources on a schedule, multiple frontier AI models independently generate structured forecasts with rationales, and results are aggregated into calibrated probability estimates that update as conditions change. Available standalone or integrated with Hinsley and Cultivate Forecasts.
- Hinsley AirGap Air-gapped Docker deployment of the Hinsley platform for classified and sensitive environments; runs entirely inside the customer's security perimeter using open-weights LLMs (Llama, Mistral, Qwen, DeepSeek), supports bare metal, Kubernetes or internal VM infrastructure, and includes a one-way secure sync from open internet instances.
- Cultivate Forecasts Crowdsourced collective human intelligence platform that taps analysts, subject-matter experts or broader communities to generate probability estimates at scale; integrates with the Hinsley AI Forecaster for hybrid human-plus-AI forecasting.
- Issue Decomposition Workshops Consulting service that applies a methodology developed with U.S. national security agencies to break down complex strategic issues into drivers, signals and forecastable propositions; follows a four-step process of survey, live workshop, asynchronous research and framework delivery, with engagements starting at $20K for a single workshop lifecycle or annual subscription with quarterly updates.
Quantifiable outcome
- 30% improvement in forecast accuracy over intelligence analysts with classified access (IARPA-ACE research)
- +1 more outcomes
Companies that use Cultivate Labs
Customer profileNamed customers18 records
Segments4 records
Ideal customer profiles4 records
Cultivate Labs technology and API
TechnologyTechnology focussed Yes
API detail
- Has API
- No
- API docs
- API detail
Core technology
AI maturity
App detail
AI capability5 records
Feature7 records
Cultivate Labs partnerships and signals
Strategic signalPartnerships
Five partnerships are on record, tiered core and secondary.
- RAND CorporationcoreCultivate provides the forecasting platform technology powering the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI), which transitioned the ARLIS INFER program. RAND brings RFI forecasts to their portfolio of projects flowing to government clients. Cultivate won competitive bidding to support RAND's efforts. RFI represents a flagship program for Cultivate with plans to scale massively in 2025.
- Bertelsmann Stiftung (North American)coreBertelsmann Stiftung's North American contingent in partnership with German colleagues leads RANGE (Rethinking Assumptions in a New Geostrategic Environment), a crowdsourced forecasting program focused on geopolitics and transatlantic relations. Cultivate co-facilitates workshops with Bertelsmann and runs forecasting tournaments on the RANGE platform.
- European Space Policy Institute (ESPI)secondaryESPI co-facilitated a forecasting workshop on lunar diplomacy with Cultivate and Bertelsmann Foundation at the Spacetide conference in Tokyo. ESPI provides subject matter expertise on space policy for scenario development.
- PythosecondaryPytho is a pioneering research partner for the Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab training curriculum. The curriculum builds on Pytho's research from the Good Judgment Project and Phil Tetlock's work, combined with Cultivate's own experience teaching forecasting concepts.
- UK Crown Commercial ServicecoreCultivate Labs was awarded as a supplier on Crown Commercial Service's G-Cloud 14 framework after detailed vetting. This enables UK Government agencies, non-profits, and charities to easily procure Cultivate's cloud-hosted software and professional services through official government procurement channels.
Scale indicators4 records
Recent moves6 records
Expansion highlights7 records
Cultivate Labs competitors and assessment
Company assessmentBroad incumbents
- Recorded Future (Mastercard): Threat-intelligence platform using AI to monitor, analyze, and forecast risk signals for government and enterprise security teams. Overlaps Cultivate's national-security and intelligence use cases and competes for the same intelligence-community procurement budgets.
- Palantir Technologies: Large, established decision-intelligence and data-analytics platform with deep government, intelligence, and enterprise penetration. Competes with Cultivate in the 'AI-driven decision support for high-stakes decisions' category but at vastly broader scope (Gotham/Foundry/AIP) and scale.
- Dataminr: Real-time AI intelligence platform that detects early signals from public data for enterprise, news, and government clients. Comparable in serving the 'continuous situational awareness' use case that Cultivate's Hinsley AI Forecaster targets, but at substantially larger scale and broader customer base.
- DataRobot: Enterprise AI platform providing AutoML, model lifecycle management, and applied AI for prediction and forecasting across regulated industries. Comparable as an enterprise AI/forecasting platform targeting large financial, government, and pharma clients.
- C3.ai: Enterprise AI application platform offering pre-built and configurable AI solutions for industries including defense, finance, and energy. Comparable in the broader enterprise-AI-platform category, especially where Cultivate's pharma/energy/government customers overlap with C3.ai verticals.
- Domino Data Lab: Enterprise MLOps and AI platform used by large financial services and government organizations to develop, deploy, and monitor models. Adjacent to Cultivate's enterprise AI deployment, with overlap in regulated industries where model governance and audit trails are required.
Direct peers
- Good Judgment Inc: Commercial spin-out of the Good Judgment Project (Phil Tetlock), offering expert crowd forecasting and superforecaster programs to enterprise and government. Cultivate explicitly draws on the Good Judgment research base for its forecaster training curriculum, and both compete in the same AI/human hybrid forecasting category for government and finance clients.
- Metaculus: Public forecasting platform that aggregates probabilistic forecasts from a large community. Comparable to Cultivate's INFER and RANGE public-facing sites and to the underlying crowd-aggregation methodology used in Cultivate Forecasts.
- Primer.ai: AI platform purpose-built for intelligence analysts and enterprise research teams, providing automated monitoring, summarization, and entity analysis. Directly overlaps Cultivate's Hinsley and ARC offerings for the same government/financial analyst personas.
- Hypermind: Commercial prediction-market and crowd-forecasting platform that aggregates expert and crowd forecasts for enterprise clients. Directly comparable to Cultivate Forecasts' collective-intelligence offering and shares the same AI-augmented crowd-forecasting value proposition.
Market position
Strengths5 records
Weaknesses5 records
Competitive moat6 records
Key risks6 records
Key highlights6 records
Customer concentration
Cultivate Labs social profiles
Digital presenceCultivate Labs compliance and trust
Trust signalCompliance1 record
Cultivate Labs financial estimates
Financial estimateRevenue estimate
Valuation estimate
Cultivate Labs leadership team
Management profileNumber of profiles
Profiles7 records
Cultivate Labs funding detail
Funding detailFunding overview
Funding rounds
Investors
Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →
Cultivate Labs M&A and investment
M&A and investmentM&A
Investments
M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →
Frequently asked questions about Cultivate Labs
What does Cultivate Labs do?
Cultivate Labs builds AI-driven continuous forecasting and sensemaking software for high-stakes enterprise and government decisions. The Hinsley platform combines structured analysis, scenario development, issue decomposition, indicator tracking and probability forecasting, optionally augmented by AI-only forecasting (Hinsley AI Forecaster) or crowdsourced human forecasting (Cultivate Forecasts). Issue Decomposition Workshops and the Cultivate Forecaster Learning Lab are professional service offerings layered on top of the platform.
Is Cultivate Labs a public or private company?
Cultivate Labs is a private company. It is classified as founder individual operated bootstrapped and is currently operating.
When was Cultivate Labs founded?
Cultivate Labs was founded in 2012. It employs 1 to 10 people.
Where is Cultivate Labs based?
Cultivate Labs is headquartered in Chicago, United States, in the North America region.
How does Cultivate Labs make money?
Four revenue lines are on record. Software Platform Subscription is the primary driver. The others are professional Services - Decomposition Workshops, training Services and AI Forecasting Add-on.
Who are Cultivate Labs's main competitors?
Broad incumbents on record are Recorded Future (Mastercard), Palantir Technologies, Dataminr, DataRobot, C3.ai and Domino Data Lab. Direct peers are Good Judgment Inc, Metaculus, Primer.ai and Hypermind.
Does Cultivate Labs have an API?
No public API is recorded for Cultivate Labs.
What industry is Cultivate Labs in?
Cultivate Labs's product category is Decision Intelligence Software. Its primary akta.pro industry code is HDAEANAA, End-to-End Enterprise AI Platforms (MLOps & Model Lifecycle Management), with a secondary code of BPAEAHAF, AI/ML Engineering & Model Development Services. Its NAICS code is 513210 and its SIC code is 7372.