What Acertas does

Acertas is a private, US-headquartered decision intelligence company founded in 2012 to commercialize more than 17 years of prior research and advisory work by its principals. The firm builds and deploys AI-augmented predictive analytics platforms — SENTURION (flagship strategy simulation), VEXILUS, AdROIT, FMA, EIDIA, and ONE — that combine machine learning, behavioral analytics, game theory, agent-based modeling, and computational social science to forecast and shape political, economic, security, and business outcomes. Acertas reports that SENTURION was selected by the US Department of Defense and the US Intelligence Community as the #1 predictive strategy capability in the world, with the US Department of State independently verifying 90%+ accuracy across more than 200 baseline simulations.

The company sells to two principal customer sets: (i) government agencies and international organizations, including the US Department of Defense, US Department of State, US Intelligence Community, World Bank, United Nations, and African Union; and (ii) corporate C-Suite and board-level clients, including historical engagements with BAE Systems and energy-sector M&A work. Revenue is generated through three streams — advisory services, software/platform licensing, and full enterprise platform deployments — delivered via a direct enterprise field-sales motion augmented by thought-leadership events (TEDx, Abu Dhabi Strategic Debate, Reindustrialize).

Acertas is a founder/management-owned LLC, with no disclosed external institutional or venture capital backing. The team is small (11-50 employees) but PhD-heavy (12 PhDs, 20 Master's, 11 nationalities, 14 languages) and operates from offices in Claremont, CA (headquarters), McLean, VA (Washington DC area), and Dubai, UAE (Middle East regional office). The chairman is Elliot Stein; the CEO is Dr. Mark Abdollahian.

Name

Acertas

Legal name

Acertas, LLC

Website

https://acertas-analytics.com

Company type

Private

Founded year

2012

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

11–50 employees

Short description

Acertas is a private decision intelligence company that builds AI-augmented predictive analytics platforms (SENTURION, VEXILUS, AdROIT, FMA, EIDIA) for C-Suite executives, US Government agencies, and international organizations. It combines machine learning, behavioral analytics, and agent-based modeling to forecast and shape high-stakes strategic outcomes.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Decision Intelligence Software

NAICS

Management Consulting Services (54161), Computer Systems Design Services (541512), Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services (54169)

SIC

Services-Management Consulting Services (8742), Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (7373)

akta.pro primary industry

AI/ML Engineering & Model Development Services (BPAEAHAF)

akta.pro secondary industry

AI Application Enablement Platforms (Copilot/Agent Frameworks, SDKs) (HDAEANAJ)

Keywords

• Predictive analytics platform
• Decision intelligence software
• Strategic risk analytics
• Behavioral analytics modeling
• Scenario simulation software

Headquarters

HQ city

New York

HQ country

United States

HQ region

North America

Offices3 records

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Software

Cost components

Personnel, Technology or R&D, Operations, Marketing or Sales, Infrastructure

Revenue model

1. Advisory Services: Professional consulting engagements where Acertas practitioners apply decision intelligence methodologies to solve client strategy challenges. Clients have employed proven ACERTAS technologies for over 17 years as advisory services.
2. Software Solutions: Licensing and deployment of proprietary platforms including SENTURION, VEXILUS, AdROIT, FMA, and EIDIA for client use.
3. Enterprise Platforms: Full enterprise platform deployment and integration for organizations requiring comprehensive decision intelligence capabilities, as exemplified by US Government adoption.

Go-to-market motion2 records

Distribution channels3 records

Marketing channels5 records

Core offering

Acertas delivers AI-powered decision intelligence through proprietary platforms (SENTURION, VEXILUS, AdROIT, FMA, EIDIA, ONE) that combine predictive analytics, behavioral analytics, game theory, agent-based modeling and computational science. The company sells these platforms and accompanying advisory services to C-Suite executives, Boards, government agencies, and international organizations to anticipate outcomes, test scenarios, and shape strategy in high-stakes environments.

Product overview

Acertas delivers augmented decision intelligence through a portfolio of specialized platforms: SENTURION (flagship strategy simulation and C-Suite Board decision platform with verified 90%+ accuracy), VEXILUS, AdROIT, FMA, EIDIA (additional analytics platforms), and ONE (data visualization platform). These platforms apply AI, machine learning, behavioral analytics, and predictive modeling to help senior decision makers anticipate outcomes, manage risks, and shape strategies across corporate strategy, negotiations, investment, policy, and market risk domains. The company also provides advisory services alongside software solutions, with 17+ years of proven results across 1000+ client engagements.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Brands

• SENTURION: C-Suite and Board Strategy platform - predictive strategy simulation capability for anticipating and shaping political, social, economic and business outcomes. Selected by US Government as the number one predictive strategy capability in the world.
• VEXILUS
• AdROIT
• FMA
• EIDIA

Products and services

• SENTURION Flagship strategy simulation platform for C-Suite and Board decision-making, verified at over 90% accuracy by the US Government in anticipating and shaping political, social, economic, and business outcomes.
• VEXILUS Platform for managing stakeholder complexity, competing perceptions, interests, and capabilities to shape outcomes.
• AdROIT Advanced analytics platform for decision intelligence applications.
• FMA Financial modeling and analytics platform for forecasting, market and risk assessment.
• EIDIA Early warning and intelligence platform providing early warning tools and intelligence augmentation for decision support.
• ONE Data and analytics platform referenced in Acertas' Terms of Use, providing access to data and visualizations for users.

Quantifiable outcome

• 90%+ accuracy in predicting and shaping outcomes, validated by US Government
• +4 more outcomes

Named customers8 records

Segments3 records

Ideal customer profiles2 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability10 records

Feature8 records

Partnerships

Seven partnerships are on record, tiered flagship, core and minor.

• Department of DefenseflagshipStrategic or Co-development PartnerThe US Department of Defense selected SENTURION as the number one predictive strategy capability in the world at over 90%+ accurate. This partnership represents Acertas' flagship validation and ongoing government collaboration.
• Department of StatecoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerDepartment of State employs SENTURION for political risk analysis, achieving 90%+ accuracy for over 200 baseline simulations across negotiations and conflict scenarios.
• World BankcoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerWorld Bank has engaged Acertas for political economy analysis since 2000, employing advanced models for reform implementation in East Asia and Pacific region.
• United NationscoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerUnited Nations receives strategic advisory services from Acertas for decision intelligence applications.
• African UnioncoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerUS Government handed over a suite of early warning tools from Acertas to the AU Continental Early Warning System to strengthen conflict prevention.
• US Intelligence CommunityflagshipStrategic or Co-development PartnerUS Intelligence Community selected SENTURION as the number one predictive capability in the world, finding ACERTAS approach accurate above 85% vs. analyst predictions at less than 50%.
• AccentureminorChannel Partner/ Reseller/ DistributorAccenture appears as a client logo on Acertas website, indicating potential consulting or implementation partnership.

Scale indicators9 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights6 records

Broad incumbents

• Palantir Technologies: Direct comparable in AI-driven decision intelligence for government and enterprise clients. Both deliver proprietary platforms that fuse disparate data sources into predictive and operational dashboards used by C-Suite and national security stakeholders.
• Booz Allen Hamilton: Large defense and government consulting firm serving the US Intelligence Community, DoD, and DoS with analytics, strategy, and digital transformation services. Overlaps with Acertas on government strategy, predictive analytics, and senior advisory work.
• Accenture Federal Services: Government and defense arm of Accenture providing AI, analytics, and strategy consulting to federal clients. Direct overlap with Acertas' US Government engagement portfolio and appears listed as an Acertas partner.

Others

• RAND Corporation: Policy research organization providing analytical insights to the US Government, with deep overlap on political risk modeling, behavioral analytics, and strategic simulation methodologies that Acertas commercializes.
• CSIS (Center for Strategic and International Studies): Bipartisan policy research organization delivering strategic analysis to US Government and corporate clients. Adjacent in delivering decision-grade intelligence to policy and corporate stakeholders.

Direct peers

• Bain & Company: Top-tier global strategy consulting firm targeting C-Suite and board-level decision makers. Comparable on the enterprise strategy, M&A, and senior advisory dimensions of Acertas' corporate client work.
• Recorded Future: Threat intelligence platform that applies predictive analytics to anticipate geopolitical and security events for government and enterprise clients. Highly comparable technology and customer overlap with SENTURION.
• Oliver Wyman: Global management consulting firm serving C-Suite clients on strategy, risk, and operations. Comparable in enterprise-facing strategy advisory, market risk modeling, and board-level engagements.

Emerging players

• Predata: Specialized predictive analytics firm using behavioral data to forecast political and geopolitical events. Direct technological and use-case overlap with Acertas' agent-based modeling and behavioral analytics capabilities.
• AidData: Research lab at William & Mary providing data-driven analytics on international development, geopolitics, and sovereign risk. Overlaps with Acertas' World Bank and political economy engagements.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat5 records

Key risks5 records

Key highlights6 records

Customer concentration

• LinkedInlinkedin.com/company/acertas

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles12 records

Subsidiaries1 record

Funding overview

Funding rounds

Investors

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about Acertas