What RAKSHA Intelligence Futures does

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures is a private anticipatory intelligence firm founded in 2024 and operating from New York under Delaware law, targeting multinational corporations, institutional capital allocators, foundations and multilaterals, insurers, and technology companies. The company's commercial motion is enterprise field sales aimed at C-suite and board-level buyers, with deployments commissioned at $50,000-$80,000 and structured as multi-year professional services engagements alongside annual recurring Ongoing Coverage subscriptions and a forthcoming self-serve platform.

The core technical offering is the Quiet Fracture Protocol (QFP™), a continuously running, trademarked detection system that ingests open-source intelligence, restricted sources, visual and geospatial data (including satellite and earth-observation imagery), regulatory activity, financial flows, and blockchain analytics. The system is designed to identify emerging fractures across geopolitics, finance, climate, and governance 6 to 18 months before they surface in headlines or markets, with explicit emphasis on convergence analysis — moments when independent risks correlate and cascade. Machine-learning-driven signal detection is embedded with human analyst judgment at interpretation, ground-truthing, and strategic decision points. Outputs are delivered through commissioned Focused Intelligence briefs, monthly Sentinel Briefings on Substack, the annual Fracture Atlas report, the forward-looking Emerging Fractures report, and a forthcoming QFP Platform scheduled for 2026.

The firm is led by founder and CEO Aarathi Krishnan, who brings two decades of UN and multilateral advisory experience, alongside a small named team covering client delivery, strategic simulations, expert validation, and research. Customer evidence includes a $300B+ AUM national pension fund, a leading risk intelligence research centre (space governance), an unnamed global foundation (AI for development), Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, UN agencies, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, and RPA. RAKSHA holds accreditation with the U.S. Department of State's Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) and distributes thought leadership through the Sentinel Briefings Substack, the Intelligence in Motion podcast, annual reports, and media appearances on Fox News and CGTN America.

Name

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures

Legal name

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures

Website

https://rak-sha.com

Company type

Private

Founded year

2024

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

1–10 employees

Short description

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures is a private anticipatory intelligence firm that sells 6-18 month early-detection risk analysis and convergence mapping to multinationals, institutional investors, foundations, insurers, and technology companies via its trademarked Quiet Fracture Protocol™ platform.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Strategic Risk Intelligence Services

NAICS

Computer Systems Design and Related Services (54151), Scientific Research and Development Services (5417)

SIC

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (7370), Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (7373)

akta.pro primary industry

Defense R&D, Test, Evaluation & Innovation (BPAIAHAC)

Keywords

• Anticipatory intelligence services
• Geopolitical risk analysis
• Systemic risk detection
• Strategic intelligence subscriptions
• Convergence analysis platform

Headquarters

HQ city

New York

HQ country

United States

HQ region

North America

Offices1 record

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Services

Cost components

Personnel, Technology or R&D, Operations, Marketing or Sales, Others

Revenue model

1. Commissioned Intelligence Projects: Focused intelligence on specific exposures, regions, or strategic decisions. Clients commission analysis on defined questions with deliverables including what's forming, why it matters, and action windows. Priced at $50k-$80k per engagement depending on complexity.
2. Ongoing Coverage Subscriptions: Continuous detection calibrated to client risk environments. Includes regular intelligence briefs, escalation as conditions shift, and direct analyst access. Structured as recurring engagements.
3. Quiet Fracture Protocol Platform Access: Direct access to QFP-powered detection and convergence insights, structured for operational workflows. Marked as coming 2026 in some sources.

Pricing tiers

Go-to-market motion2 records

Distribution channels1 record

Marketing channels6 records

Core offering

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures delivers anticipatory intelligence services powered by its proprietary Quiet Fracture Protocol (QFP), a continuously running detection system that identifies emerging geopolitical, financial, climate, and governance fractures 6 to 18 months before they surface in headlines or markets. Offerings include commissioned Focused Intelligence projects, Ongoing Coverage subscriptions calibrated to client risk environments, annual flagship reports (The Fracture Atlas, Emerging Fractures), monthly Sentinel Briefings, and a QFP Platform launching in 2026.

Product overview

RAKSHA Intelligence Futures is an anticipatory intelligence company offering decision-grade intelligence powered by humans and augmented with AI. The core product is the Quiet Fracture Protocol™ (QFP), a continuously running detection system that identifies emerging fractures 6-18 months before they surface. QFP powers the company's flagship reports: The Fracture Atlas (annual diagnostic of systemic stress across geopolitics, capital, climate, and governance) and Emerging Fractures (forward-looking activation analysis). Intelligence is delivered through The Sentinel Briefings (monthly), Focused Intelligence (commissioned), and Ongoing Coverage (continuous). A QFP Platform for direct access is launching in 2026. The company also offers Capital Alpha and Impact Alpha frameworks for financial and societal advantage positioning. All offerings are calibrated to specific client exposures with explicit timing and decision windows.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Brands

• Quiet Fracture Protocol™: The core detection infrastructure behind RAKSHA's anticipatory intelligence - a continuously running system that identifies emerging fractures across geopolitics, finance, climate, and governance, 6 to 18 months before they surface in headlines or markets.
• The Sentinel Briefings
• The Fracture Atlas
• Emerging Fractures

Products and services

• Focused Intelligence Commissioned intelligence on a specific exposure, region, or strategic decision. Provides what's forming, why it matters, and the window to act. Calibrated to specific client decisions rather than generic risk analysis. Priced at $50k-$80k per engagement depending on complexity and scope.
• Ongoing Coverage Continuous detection calibrated to the client's risk environment. Includes regular intelligence briefs, escalation as conditions shift, and direct analyst access. Structured as a recurring annual engagement providing ongoing monitoring rather than one-time assessments.
• Quiet Fracture Protocol (QFP) The core detection infrastructure powering RAKSHA's anticipatory intelligence. A continuously running system that identifies emerging fractures across geopolitics, finance, climate, and governance 6 to 18 months before they surface in headlines or markets. QFP focuses on convergence: moments when independent risks correlate and small fractures cascade into systemic breaks. Human judgment is embedded where context, consequence, and interpretation cannot be automated.
• Quiet Fracture Protocol Platform Direct access to QFP-powered detection and convergence insights, structured for operational workflows and insights. Provides clients with direct platform access to the detection system for integration into client operational workflows. Status: Coming 2026.
• The Fracture Atlas RAKSHA's annual diagnostic report mapping where systemic stress is building across geopolitics, capital, climate, and governance. Identifies fault lines and documents cases showing how fractures connect and cascade across systems that appear separate. Built from QFP analysis, ground-truthed by the expert network.
• Emerging Fractures RAKSHA's forward-looking report that looks further out than the Fracture Atlas. Identifies activations expected to be seen, sequences likely to drive them, and decision windows that open for institutions paying attention early enough. Built from QFP analysis with expert ground-truthing.
• The Sentinel Briefings Monthly intelligence briefings from the fault lines, curated for boardroom decision-makers, funders operating across fragile states, and global organizations mapping invisible risks. Includes pattern scans, emergent signal maps, and early risk convergence analysis pulled directly from the QFP engine.
• Geopolitical Fractures 2026 RAKSHA's annual flagship report mapping four structural fractures where global systems are failing, with a 'Four Fractures, One Cascade' framework analyzing breakdowns in financial systems, insurance markets, critical infrastructure, and global governance.
• Capital Alpha Intelligence advantage enabling clients to move assets before markets reprice. Part of RAKSHA's dual advantage framework, providing financial outperformance through anticipatory positioning.
• Impact Alpha Intelligence advantage enabling clients to shape the environment before it locks in. Part of RAKSHA's dual advantage framework, focusing on measurable societal impact alongside financial returns.

Quantifiable outcome

• Early detection of institutional decay 6-18 months before markets price the risk
• +2 more outcomes

Named customers7 records

Segments5 records

Ideal customer profiles5 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability8 records

Feature3 records

Partnerships

Nine partnerships are on record, tiered core and minor.

• Strategic Advisory NetworkcoreOthersRAKSHA maintains a network of strategic advisors including Joseph D'Cruz (CEO, RSPO), Indy Johar (Executive Director, DarkMatterLabs), Princess Sarah Zeid of Jordan (Humanitarian Activist), Andrew Haupt (CFO, ITDP), Elina Noor (Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment), Karen K. Burns (CEO, Fyma), Nathaniel Raymond (Executive Director, Humanitarian Research Lab at Yale Law School), and other domain experts. These advisors provide contextual depth and validation across geographies and risk domains.
• Expert Intelligence NetworkcoreOthersGlobal network of analysts, domain experts, and regional specialists providing contextual depth that transforms signal detection into actionable intelligence. Includes professionals with deep fluency in specific geographies, sectors, or risk domains who can operate at the speed deployments require.
• ChangeistminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerCreative strategic consultancy focused on futures and scenario planning. Listed as a partner ensuring 'whole of house' approach to data, product, and advisory services.
• AsraminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerPartner organization collaborating on data, product, and advisory services. Listed in partner ecosystem.
• OverwatchminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerPartner organization in the RAKSHA partner ecosystem ensuring comprehensive approach to intelligence services.
• RPAminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerMajor risk and strategy consulting firm. Logo displayed as trusted client/partner relationship.
• IGD (Institute for Global Management)minorStrategic or Co-development PartnerPartner organization in the RAKSHA ecosystem ensuring 'whole of house' approach.
• Global LogominorStrategic or Co-development PartnerPartner organization listed in partner ecosystem.
• SuperfluxminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerFutures and futurescaping studio. Listed as partner ensuring comprehensive approach to intelligence and advisory services.

Scale indicators3 records

Recent moves5 records

Expansion highlights6 records

Emerging players

• Bellingcat: Bellingcat is an independent OSINT investigative collective producing open-source investigations on conflicts, corruption, and human rights. Comparable OSINT methodology and signal-driven analysis but operates as a nonprofit with journalism rather than enterprise subscription model.

Broad incumbents

• Control Risks: Control Risks is a global specialist risk consultancy offering political, security, and integrity risk services to multinationals. Overlaps with RAKSHA's multinationals segment but is a broader incumbent with operational security, investigations, and crisis response beyond pure anticipatory intelligence.
• Recorded Future (Mastercard): Recorded Future is a large threat intelligence platform using AI to correlate signals across the open, deep, and dark web. Broader incumbent in the machine-augmented intelligence space; comparable technology stack and customer overlap (insurers, governments, multinationals) but cyber-focused rather than geopolitical.
• Teneo: Teneo is a global advisory firm providing strategic communications, management consulting, and risk advisory, including geopolitical advisory to CEOs and boards. Comparable to RAKSHA's C-suite/board-level target buyer profile and enterprise risk advisory scope.

Direct peers

• Janes: Janes provides open-source defense and national security intelligence, including forecasts on geopolitical, military, and infrastructure developments. Comparable to RAKSHA's OSINT-driven anticipatory intelligence with similar defense, government, and institutional buyer segments.
• Eurasia Group: Eurasia Group is a leading geopolitical risk advisory firm providing political risk analysis and forecasting to multinationals and investors. Directly comparable to RAKSHA as a premium, subscription-based geopolitical intelligence provider serving institutional capital and corporate clients.
• Dragonfly Intelligence: Dragonfly Intelligence provides political and security risk analysis with a focus on OSINT, forecasting, and country-level monitoring. Closely comparable to RAKSHA's analytical, OSINT-led anticipatory intelligence model serving corporate and government clients.
• Oxford Analytica: Oxford Analytica provides expert-authored geopolitical and macroeconomic analysis to multinational corporations, governments, and international organizations. Highly comparable to RAKSHA's analyst-driven anticipatory intelligence model and enterprise/government client base.
• Rhodium Group: Rhodium Group provides independent geopolitical and economic risk research, including China-focused analysis and global capital flows. Comparable to RAKSHA's institutional-capital and foundations segments, with thematic forecasts on structural shifts in global systems.
• Stratfor (FiscalNote): Stratfor, now part of FiscalNote, delivers geopolitical intelligence and forecasting to enterprises and governments. Directly comparable subscription-based geopolitical intelligence model serving multinational clients with thematic forecasting.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat5 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights7 records

Customer concentration

• LinkedInlinkedin.com/company/raksha-intelligence

Compliance1 record

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles7 records

Funding overview

Funding rounds1 record

Investors

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about RAKSHA Intelligence Futures