Developer docs
API playgroundTry for free, no card

Search company profiles

FiveThirtyEight

Full company profile

uuid000i4ij

Namestring
FiveThirtyEight
Company typeenum
Private
Founded yearint
2008
Descriptiontext

FiveThirtyEight is a United States-based polling analysis and data journalism website founded by Nate Silver in 2008. The company's core product is statistical analysis and predictive coverage of elections, politics, sports, economics, and science, built on proprietary polling aggregation and quantitative modeling techniques accumulated since the site's launch. It operates from New York with a lean team of 11–50 employees and maintains the brand identity Silver established as an independent data journalism outlet.

The business serves consumers interested in data-driven journalism, particularly around elections and other quantifiable subjects. The site continues to operate and serve subscribers, suggesting a direct consumer subscription revenue model rather than reliance solely on advertising. There is no disclosed pricing structure, no public customer segmentation, and no documented enterprise or licensing layer in the available source data; revenue mechanics are inferred from the consumer-facing editorial subscription posture.

Operationally, the company's most notable recent event is the May 2026 disappearance of a large volume of articles from the public internet, including historical content dating back to 2008, for reasons not specified in available reporting. The firm remains in operating status with Nate Silver continuing as Founder & Editor-in-Chief, and no ownership, parent-entity, or investor information is disclosed in the source data.

Short descriptiontext

FiveThirtyEight is a US-based polling analysis and data journalism website founded by Nate Silver in 2008. The company provides statistical analysis and predictive coverage of elections, politics, sports, and economics to consumer subscribers. It operates from New York.

Operating statusenum
Operating
Ownership categoryenum
Headcount rangeband
11–50
akta.pro rankint
HeadquartersNew York, United States
HQ citystring
New York
HQ countrystring
United States
HQ regionstring
North America
Markets served

Serves global market

Keyword5 values
data journalism, polling analysis, election forecasting, statistical analysis, political commentary
Industry3 codes
1Data Journalism & News Intelligence Publishers (Indexes, Election/Market Data)
CodeMPAJADAKPrimaryYes
2Media & Audience Measurement Analytics
CodeBPAHALAOPrimaryNo
3Audience Measurement & Media Research (Ratings, Attribution, Media Mix Insights)
CodeMPAAALAMPrimaryNo
NAICS code3 codes
  • Marketing Research and Public Opinion Polling541910
  • Newspaper Publishers513110
  • Periodical Publishers513120
SIC code1 code
  • Newspapers: Publishing Or Publishing & Printing2711
Product category
Data Journalism & Political Analysis Content
Social media profiles2 records
Cost components4 values
Personnel, Operations, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales
GTM typeB2C
B2C
Offering typeDigital Commerce or Conte…
Digital Commerce or Content
Core offering1 text field

FiveThirtyEight operates a US polling analysis website that publishes data-driven journalism, election forecasts, and statistical commentary for individual readers. The site sells subscriptions and serves a readership interested in quantitative political and public-affairs coverage dating back to its founding in 2008.

Differentiator
Functional benefit
Problem solved
Product and service1 record
1FiveThirtyEight polling analysis website
CategoryData Journalism & Political Analysis Content
Description

Online polling analysis and data-journalism website publishing statistical coverage and election-related content for individual readers and subscribers in the United States.

Recent move2 records

Each record includes

Date, Type, Title, Description, Source

Peers10 records
TypeDirect peer
Description

Polling aggregation and political analysis site that compiles and averages polls on elections, mirroring FiveThirtyEight's core polling-aggregation value proposition.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Online polling and market research firm publishing political, brand, and consumer opinion data with an emphasis on statistical methodology, comparable to FiveThirtyEight's quantitative polling work.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Global research and polling company publishing regular political and consumer sentiment surveys, with data-driven journalism output directly comparable to FiveThirtyEight.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Nonpartisan research organization producing public opinion polling, demographic research, and data journalism — directly comparable to FiveThirtyEight's data-driven analytical content.

TypeBroad incumbent
Description

Data-rich news publication covering politics, economics, and polling analysis with sophisticated statistical models — a broader incumbent sharing the data-driven journalism positioning.

TypeBroad incumbent
Description

Established polling and analytics firm offering public opinion research across politics, business, and well-being — a broader incumbent in the same polling/audience-measurement category.

TypeEmerging player
Description

Election data and polling aggregation website focused on U.S. presidential and congressional race analytics, providing comparable interactive election content.

TypeEmerging player
Description

Election results and polling aggregation service providing real-time data on races, overlapping FiveThirtyEight's election-data and forecasting niche with a more technology-focused delivery.

9Sabato's Crystal Ball
TypeDirect peer
Description

Election forecasting and political analysis publication from the University of Virginia Center for Politics — directly comparable nonpartisan election-forecasting content.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Nonpartisan election analysis service publishing race ratings and political forecasting — closely aligned with FiveThirtyEight's election-analysis core offering.

Market position
Strengths4 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Weaknesses4 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Competitive moat3 records

Each record includes

Type, Details

Key risks5 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Key highlights5 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Customer concentration

Classification, Details

Ideal customer profile1 record

Each record includes

Profile, Firmographic size, Sales motion, Sales cycle length, Buying structure, Purchase trigger, Buyer persona, Geography, Industry vertical, Primary use case, Description, Pain points, Evidence proof points, Target buyer

Technology focused
No
API detail
Has APIbool
No

Docs URL, Description

AI maturity
App detail

Has app

Core technology
Revenue estimate
Valuation estimate
Number of profiles
Profiles1 record

Each record includes

Name, Designation, Designation category, Overview, Profile commentary, Source

No data
No data
Funding overview

Funding stage, Last funding date, Total funding USD

Funding rounds

Each record includes

Round, Amount USD, Date, Pre money valuation, Total investors, Investors, News

Investors

Each record includes

Name, Type, Date of entry, Rounds participated, Website

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Each record includes

Name, Acquisition type, Announced date, Completed date, Status, Website, News

Investment

Each record includes

Name, Round, Announced date, Lead investor, Website, News

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

FiveThirtyEight

Data Journalism & Political Analysis Contentfivethirtyeight.com

FiveThirtyEight is a US-based polling analysis and data journalism website founded by Nate Silver in 2008. The company provides statistical analysis and predictive coverage of elections, politics, sports, and economics to consumer subscribers. It operates from New York.

What FiveThirtyEight does

FiveThirtyEight is a United States-based polling analysis and data journalism website founded by Nate Silver in 2008. The company's core product is statistical analysis and predictive coverage of elections, politics, sports, economics, and science, built on proprietary polling aggregation and quantitative modeling techniques accumulated since the site's launch. It operates from New York with a lean team of 11–50 employees and maintains the brand identity Silver established as an independent data journalism outlet.

The business serves consumers interested in data-driven journalism, particularly around elections and other quantifiable subjects. The site continues to operate and serve subscribers, suggesting a direct consumer subscription revenue model rather than reliance solely on advertising. There is no disclosed pricing structure, no public customer segmentation, and no documented enterprise or licensing layer in the available source data; revenue mechanics are inferred from the consumer-facing editorial subscription posture.

Operationally, the company's most notable recent event is the May 2026 disappearance of a large volume of articles from the public internet, including historical content dating back to 2008, for reasons not specified in available reporting. The firm remains in operating status with Nate Silver continuing as Founder & Editor-in-Chief, and no ownership, parent-entity, or investor information is disclosed in the source data.

FiveThirtyEight firmographics

Firmographics
Name
FiveThirtyEight
Website
https://fivethirtyeight.com
Company type
Private
Founded year
2008
Operating status
Operating
Headcount range
11–50 employees
Short description
FiveThirtyEight is a US-based polling analysis and data journalism website founded by Nate Silver in 2008. The company provides statistical analysis and predictive coverage of elections, politics, sports, and economics to consumer subscribers. It operates from New York.
Ownership category
akta.pro rank

FiveThirtyEight industry classification

Industry
Product category
Data Journalism & Political Analysis Content
NAICS
Marketing Research and Public Opinion Polling (541910), Newspaper Publishers (513110), Periodical Publishers (513120)
SIC
Newspapers: Publishing Or Publishing & Printing (2711)
akta.pro primary industry
Data Journalism & News Intelligence Publishers (Indexes, Election/Market Data) (MPAJADAK)
akta.pro secondary industries
Media & Audience Measurement Analytics (BPAHALAO), Audience Measurement & Media Research (Ratings, Attribution, Media Mix Insights) (MPAAALAM)

Keywords

  • Data journalism
  • Polling analysis
  • Election forecasting
  • Statistical analysis
  • Political commentary

Where FiveThirtyEight is headquartered

Location

Headquarters

HQ city
New York
HQ country
United States
HQ region
North America

Markets served

FiveThirtyEight business model

Business model
GTM type
B2C
Offering type
Digital Commerce or Content
Cost components
Personnel, Operations, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales

FiveThirtyEight product offering

Product offering

Core offering

FiveThirtyEight operates a US polling analysis website that publishes data-driven journalism, election forecasts, and statistical commentary for individual readers. The site sells subscriptions and serves a readership interested in quantitative political and public-affairs coverage dating back to its founding in 2008.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Products and services

  • FiveThirtyEight polling analysis website Online polling analysis and data-journalism website publishing statistical coverage and election-related content for individual readers and subscribers in the United States.

Companies that use FiveThirtyEight

Customer profile

Ideal customer profiles1 record

FiveThirtyEight technology and API

Technology

Technology focussed No

API detail

Has API
No
API docs
API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

FiveThirtyEight partnerships and signals

Strategic signal

Recent moves2 records

FiveThirtyEight competitors and assessment

Company assessment

Direct peers

  • RealClearPolitics: Polling aggregation and political analysis site that compiles and averages polls on elections, mirroring FiveThirtyEight's core polling-aggregation value proposition.
  • YouGov: Online polling and market research firm publishing political, brand, and consumer opinion data with an emphasis on statistical methodology, comparable to FiveThirtyEight's quantitative polling work.
  • Morning Consult: Global research and polling company publishing regular political and consumer sentiment surveys, with data-driven journalism output directly comparable to FiveThirtyEight.
  • Pew Research Center: Nonpartisan research organization producing public opinion polling, demographic research, and data journalism — directly comparable to FiveThirtyEight's data-driven analytical content.
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Election forecasting and political analysis publication from the University of Virginia Center for Politics — directly comparable nonpartisan election-forecasting content.
  • Cook Political Report: Nonpartisan election analysis service publishing race ratings and political forecasting — closely aligned with FiveThirtyEight's election-analysis core offering.

Broad incumbents

  • The Economist: Data-rich news publication covering politics, economics, and polling analysis with sophisticated statistical models — a broader incumbent sharing the data-driven journalism positioning.
  • Gallup: Established polling and analytics firm offering public opinion research across politics, business, and well-being — a broader incumbent in the same polling/audience-measurement category.

Emerging players

  • 270toWin: Election data and polling aggregation website focused on U.S. presidential and congressional race analytics, providing comparable interactive election content.
  • Decision Desk HQ: Election results and polling aggregation service providing real-time data on races, overlapping FiveThirtyEight's election-data and forecasting niche with a more technology-focused delivery.

Market position

Strengths4 records

Weaknesses4 records

Competitive moat3 records

Key risks5 records

Key highlights5 records

Customer concentration

FiveThirtyEight social profiles

Digital presence

FiveThirtyEight financial estimates

Financial estimate

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

FiveThirtyEight leadership team

Management profile

Number of profiles

Profiles1 record

FiveThirtyEight funding detail

Funding detail

Funding overview

Funding rounds

Investors

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

FiveThirtyEight M&A and investment

M&A and investment

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about FiveThirtyEight

What does FiveThirtyEight do?

FiveThirtyEight operates a US polling analysis website that publishes data-driven journalism, election forecasts, and statistical commentary for individual readers. The site sells subscriptions and serves a readership interested in quantitative political and public-affairs coverage dating back to its founding in 2008.

When was FiveThirtyEight founded?

FiveThirtyEight was founded in 2008. It employs 11 to 50 people.

Where is FiveThirtyEight based?

FiveThirtyEight is headquartered in New York, United States, in the North America region.

Who are FiveThirtyEight's main competitors?

Direct peers on record are RealClearPolitics, YouGov, Morning Consult, Pew Research Center, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report. Broad incumbents are The Economist and Gallup. Emerging players are 270toWin and Decision Desk HQ.

Does FiveThirtyEight have an API?

No public API is recorded for FiveThirtyEight.

What industry is FiveThirtyEight in?

FiveThirtyEight's product category is Data Journalism & Political Analysis Content. Its primary akta.pro industry code is MPAJADAK, Data Journalism & News Intelligence Publishers (Indexes, Election/Market Data), with a secondary code of BPAHALAO, Media & Audience Measurement Analytics. Its NAICS code is 541910 and its SIC code is 2711.

Unlock the full company data

50 free credits on sign-up, no credit card required.

Contact sales
Live signals
VarietyCrooked Media Is Bringing Back Nate Silver’s ‘FiveThirtyEight Politics’ Podcast, Which Will Relaunch Next Month as ‘Still Counting’ (EXCLUSIVE)Crooked Media has agreed to acquire and revive the "FiveThirtyEight Politics" podcast, hosted by Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke, ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The show will relaunch as "Still Counting," premiering Sept. 9 on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube and other platforms, covering elections, betting markets and AI. ABC shut down the FiveThirtyEight website and podcasts in March 2025.The New York TimesThousands of FiveThirtyEight Articles Seemingly Vanish From the InternetThe archived version of FiveThirtyEight, fivethirtyeight.com, is now redirecting users to ABC News, making thousands of articles from 2008 inaccessible. ABC shut down the publication in March 2025, and the removal of the archived content has not been explained. Only data.fivethirtyeight.com remains partially accessible.The Times of Indiaabc news layoffs: FiveThirtyEight employees learned of their layoffs from the press, then ABC News boss Almin Karamehmedovic read a script to make it official - The Economic TimesABC News shut down FiveThirtyEight as part of Disney's broader restructuring, eliminating all 15 employees at the data-focused political analysis site. The layoffs, which affected approximately 200 workers across ABC News and Disney Entertainment Networks, blindsided staff who learned of their job losses from a Wall Street Journal report before ABC News President Almin Karamehmedovic delivered a brief, scripted announcement without taking questions. The closure marks a significant shift in political data journalism, leaving uncertainty about the fate of FiveThirtyEight's extensive data collection.The Times of Indiaabc news: Disney job cuts: ABC News President accused of not taking any questions while announcing layoffs at FiveThirtyEight - The Economic TimesABC News shut down FiveThirtyEight and laid off approximately 200 employees across ABC News and Disney Entertainment Networks as part of Disney's company-wide cost-cutting measures. The layoffs represent about 6% of the workforce at both units, with 15 staff at FiveThirtyEight receiving termination notices announced by ABC News President Almin Karamehmedovic without taking questions. The future of FiveThirtyEight's substantial political data collection remains uncertain, and employees described the mass layoffs as 'a massacre' while expressing shock and frustration over the lack of explanation from Disney.BenzingaPrediction Markets Swing Back To Trump, But Data Analysts Say It's Too Close To CallPrediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) have shifted back in favor of Donald Trump on the final day before the 2024 presidential election, with Trump showing approximately 54-58% chance of victory. However, data analysts at FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver are not as confident, with their simulations showing Trump with a 51.8% and 50.2% chance respectively, essentially calling the race a toss-up. The article indicates late shifts in momentum in an election expected to be decided by the narrowest of margins, with Nevada and Pennsylvania expected to be the closest battleground states.BenzingaTrump Vs. Harris: Veteran Pollster Says This Candidate Is Building 'Real Lead,' Riding High On Momentum DPollster Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight model now gives Vice President Kamala Harris a 45.7% chance of winning the Electoral College, up from 37% a week prior, while Donald Trump trails with a 43.8% chance. Silver reported that Harris holds a "real lead" of approximately two points in national polls and is also ahead in key swing states Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Silver noted that while economic and incumbency factors continue to weigh against her, the current momentum in the polls has outweighed those factors for now.BenzingaTrump And Biden Locked In Tight 2024 Presidential Race In Closely Watched 538 Prediction Forecast - iSharFiveThirtyEight released its 2024 US Presidential Election forecast showing President Joe Biden with a 53% chance of winning versus former President Donald Trump's 47%, a narrowing from Biden's 62% chance in April, with the model projecting Biden to win the popular vote at 47.4% to Trump's 44.8%. The forecast identifies Pennsylvania as the most likely tipping point state among eight battleground states, while also noting Biden has a 23% chance of winning in a landslide compared to Trump's 11%. The article also discusses polling accuracy concerns, noting significant polling errors in recent US elections and contrasting FiveThirtyEight's odds with betting markets, which give Trump a 56% chance of winning.Business InsiderBiden's average approval rating slips below 50% for the first time since taking officeBiden's average approval rating fell below 50% for the first time since taking office, with FiveThirtyEight at 49.3% and RealClearPolitics at 49.4%. The decline follows the fall of Kabul to the Taliban and a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing 46% approval. His approval has also slipped among independent voters.AxiosBiden's average approval rating drops below 50% for first timePresident Biden's average approval rating fell below 50% for the first time since taking office, according to FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics. The dip is linked to the Delta variant surge and precedes his Afghanistan response. His rating is 49.8% on FiveThirtyEight and 49.4% on RCP.Business Insider19 NBA teams still have a shot at making the FinalsFiveThirtyEight's Elo system ranks 19 NBA teams with at least a 1% chance of making the Finals, with Milwaukee and the Lakers leading at 40% and 38% respectively. The rankings change with game results, and the article notes the season's inconsistency.