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UMA

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uuid0003gor

Namestring
UMA
Legal namestring
UMA
Websiteurl
umaproject.org
Company typeenum
Private
Founded yearint
2018
Descriptiontext

UMA is a decentralized finance protocol founded in 2018 and operated by the Risk Labs Foundation, headquartered in New York with 11–50 employees. Its core product is the Optimistic Oracle (OO), a smart-contract-based verification system built on Ethereum that records arbitrary natural-language statements — about elections, sports, weather, or any universally verifiable event — onto a blockchain through a four-stage process: statement proposal with a posted bond, an optimistic challenge period, optional dispute, and tokenholder voting. UMA token holders stake $UMA, vote on contested statements, and earn up to 16% APR, providing the human/economic backstop for the system.

The protocol serves as oracle infrastructure for builders rather than end users. Named integrators include Polymarket (the dominant prediction-market platform), Across (cross-chain bridging), Story Protocol (IP and content rights), Rated (network analytics), and Sherlock (smart-contract audit/insurance). In April 2026 alone, more than 230 contracts worth over $1 billion in combined trading volume were resolved through UMA's OO voting on Polymarket, and roughly 2,000 contracts have been adjudicated over the prior year.

UMA's business model is protocol-native rather than SaaS: the OO is free at point of use, funded through bond-based dispute bounties and staking rewards rather than direct user fees. The platform pursues an API-first, developer-self-serve go-to-market motion via docs.uma.xyz and oracle.uma.xyz, with no direct sales overhead. Revenue accrues to token holders via staking rather than to a centralized operator. Strategic challenges include governance concentration (nine anonymous wallets reportedly controlling roughly half of Polymarket-resolution votes), a $37M token market cap that critics argue is economically thin relative to dispute volume, and paused governance reforms at Risk Labs to address these centralization concerns.

Short descriptiontext

UMA is a decentralized Ethereum protocol offering an Optimistic Oracle that settles natural-language real-world event disputes for builders like Polymarket, Across, Story Protocol, Rated, and Sherlock via tokenholder staking and voting.

Operating statusenum
Operating
Ownership categoryenum
Headcount rangeband
11–50
akta.pro rankint
HeadquartersNew York, United States
HQ citystring
New York
HQ countrystring
United States
HQ regionstring
North America
Markets served

Serves global market

Keyword5 values
decentralized oracle services, optimistic verification protocol, blockchain data verification, smart contract oracle, decentralized governance protocol
Industry4 codes
1Oracle Networks & Off-Chain Data (price feeds, randomness, attestation)
CodeFSAPABAEPrimaryYes
2Dispute Resolution & DAO Arbitration (courts, mediation)
CodeFSAPAHAHPrimaryNo
3RWA Oracles, Data Attestation & Proof-of-Reserve/Proof-of-Collateral
CodeFSADAEAMPrimaryNo
4Oracle Node Operators & Data Provider Networks
CodeFSADAKAHPrimaryNo
NAICS code1 code
  • Computing Infrastructure Providers, Data Processing, Web Hosting, and Related Services5182
SIC code1 code
  • Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.7370
Product category
Decentralized Oracle Infrastructure
Social media profiles1 record
GTM motion1 record

Each record includes

Type, Description, Source

Revenue model2 records
1Staking Rewards for Voters
TypeSubscription Recurring
Description

UMA token holders stake their tokens to participate in dispute resolution voting. Successful voters who vote with the majority earn rewards, gradually increasing their ownership percentage of the protocol. The staking mechanism provides up to 16% APR for active participants, funded through the protocol's economic model.

uma.xyz
2Bond-based Dispute Resolution
TypeUsage Based
Description

Statements submitted to the oracle require a bond, which acts as a bounty for anyone who successfully disputes false claims. This creates an economic incentive mechanism where disputers can earn rewards by identifying incorrect statements, funded by the proposer's bond.

uma.xyz
Marketing channels4 records

Each record includes

Title, Type, Stage, Description, Source

Distribution channels3 records

Each record includes

Title, Type, Scope, Target buyer, Description, Source

Cost components4 values
Technology or R&D, Personnel, Operations, Marketing or Sales
Pricing details1 tier
1Voter staking rewards of up to 16% APR
ModelOtherBilling cadencePay-as-you-go
Notes

Token holders stake $UMA to help secure the Optimistic Oracle and earn rewards. Correct and consistent voters earn higher APYs. Successful voters gradually own a higher percentage of the protocol than unsuccessful or inactive voters.

uma.xyz
GTM typeB2B and B2C
B2B and B2C
Offering typeSoftware
Software
Core offering1 text field

UMA operates the Optimistic Oracle (OO), a decentralized oracle protocol built on Ethereum that records any verifiable truth or data on-chain through a four-stage process: (1) a natural-language statement is proposed with a bond, (2) an open challenge period elapses, (3) any party may dispute, and (4) UMA tokenholders vote to resolve disputes and earn rewards. The protocol serves as backbone infrastructure for prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain bridges, and real-world asset tokenization, with a token-incentivized voter app for governance participation.

Differentiator
Functional benefit
Problem solved
Quantifiable outcome1 of 3 values shown
  • Up to 16% APR for active stakers and voters on the UMA protocol
+2 more records
Product overview1 text field

UMA is a decentralized finance protocol built on Ethereum that provides an Optimistic Oracle system for recording verifiable truths and data onto blockchains. The core product, the Optimistic Oracle (OO), operates through a multi-stage verification process where statements are proposed, challenged during a dispute period, and resolved through tokenholder voting. The platform includes a Voter App for token holders to participate in governance and earn rewards, and serves as infrastructure for various builder applications including prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain communication, and real-world assets. Notable projects built with the OO include Polymarket, Across, Story Protocol, Rated, and Sherlock.

Product and service2 records
1Optimistic Oracle (OO)
CategoryDecentralized Oracle Infrastructure
Description

A decentralized oracle system built on Ethereum that records any verifiable truth or arbitrary data onto a blockchain through a four-stage optimistic verification process (statement proposal with bond, challenge period, dispute, tokenholder voting). It is designed for protocols and developers building prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain bridges, and real-world asset applications that need trustless verification of natural-language statements and event outcomes.

2UMA Voter App
CategoryGovernance and Staking Interface
Description

A self-serve governance application that allows $UMA token holders to stake tokens, vote on oracle disputes, and earn rewards of up to 16% APR. Token holders who vote correctly and consistently earn higher APYs and gradually increase their ownership share of the protocol relative to inactive or unsuccessful voters.

Scale indicator4 records

Each record includes

Type, Value, Description, Source

Partnership6 partners
Strategic tierCoreTypeTechnology or Integration
Description

Polymarket is the primary and most high-profile platform built on UMA's Optimistic Oracle, using it to validate natural-language statements about real-world events for prediction market resolution. Polymarket processes billions in trading volume with disputes resolved through UMA governance voting. The platform is the largest web3 prediction market, having facilitated nearly $1B in U.S. presidential election bets as of September 2024.

Strategic tierCoreTypeTechnology or Integration
Description

Across protocol leverages UMA's Optimistic Oracle for cross-chain communication and liquidity optimization, using the oracle to verify state information and transaction proofs across different blockchain networks to enable secure bridging.

Strategic tierCoreTypeTechnology or Integration
Description

Story Protocol integrates with UMA's oracle infrastructure for verifiable data needs related to intellectual property management and on-chain content rights verification.

Strategic tierCoreTypeTechnology or Integration
Description

Rated uses UMA's Optimistic Oracle for validating data related to blockchain network performance metrics and validator analytics, integrating the oracle into its DeFi analytics infrastructure.

Strategic tierCoreTypeTechnology or Integration
Description

Sherlock integrates with UMA's Optimistic Oracle for dispute resolution in smart contract security auditing and insurance coverage verification, using the oracle to validate claims and trigger payouts.

Strategic tierCoreTypeStrategic or Co-development Partner
Description

Risk Labs is the foundation and team behind UMA. Risk Labs' mission is to make global markets universally fair, accessible, secure, and decentralized. The foundation maintains the protocol, develops the Optimistic Oracle, and supports the UMA governance ecosystem through the voter app, docs, and blog. Risk Labs has paused promised governance reforms to address centralization concerns in the OO voting mechanism.

Recent move6 records

Each record includes

Date, Type, Title, Description, Source

Expansion highlight5 records

Each record includes

Type, Description

Peers10 records
TypeBroad incumbent
Description

The dominant decentralized oracle network for smart contracts, providing price feeds and off-chain data to DeFi and enterprise. Most direct competitor to UMA in the oracle category, though Chainlink focuses on numeric data feeds via aggregated node networks rather than UMA's natural-language optimistic verification model.

TypeOthers
Description

Largest web3 prediction market and UMA's flagship customer/integrator. Not a direct competitor—Polymarket is a downstream consumer of UMA's oracle—but a critical ecosystem participant whose growth or migration decisions would materially affect UMA's trajectory.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Decentralized oracle using first-party data providers (Airnodes) to deliver signed API data on-chain without intermediary node operators. A direct oracle competitor with a different architectural approach (first-party versus optimistic), targeting similar DeFi and RWA use cases as UMA.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Cross-chain decentralized oracle aggregating and connecting real-world data to smart contracts. Competes with UMA for DeFi and Web3 data feeds, with a delegated proof-of-stake consensus model rather than UMA's optimistic + tokenholder voting approach.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Decentralized oracle network using a staking and dispute mechanism for off-chain data verification. Highly comparable to UMA's Optimistic Oracle—both use staked-token security and dispute resolution to validate data, though Tellor focuses more on numeric feeds and is a smaller, more crypto-native player.

TypeOthers
Description

Cross-chain interoperability protocol enabling message passing between blockchains. Comparable to UMA's cross-chain communication use case (e.g., the Across integration), though LayerZero is an infrastructure peer at the messaging layer rather than a true oracle competitor.

TypeOthers
Description

Cross-chain bridge and messaging protocol for asset and data transfer between blockchains. Comparable to UMA in the cross-chain data verification space, particularly relevant to UMA's Across integration, though Wormhole operates as a bridge rather than an oracle.

TypeDirect peer
Description

Decentralized oracle focused on low-latency market data for DeFi, built with first-party publisher contributions from trading firms. Comparable to UMA as a competing oracle architecture targeting DeFi applications, though optimized for high-frequency numeric price feeds rather than qualitative event resolution.

TypeEmerging player
Description

Decentralized arbitration protocol using token-staked jurors to resolve disputes on-chain. Functionally similar to UMA's dispute resolution layer, and an emerging peer in the decentralized arbitration and oracle-adjacent space.

TypeEmerging player
Description

Modular oracle network specializing in data feeds for DeFi, particularly L2-focused and RWA tokenization use cases. Emerging competitor overlapping with UMA's RWA and cross-chain segments, with a focus on push-based data delivery.

Market position
Strengths4 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Weaknesses4 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Competitive moat6 records

Each record includes

Type, Details

Key risks6 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Key highlights6 records

Each record includes

Headline, Details, Source

Customer concentration

Classification, Details

Named customers5 records

Each record includes

Name, Industry, Type, Use case, Source, UUID

Segment4 records

Each record includes

Title, Type, Primary, Description, Pain point addressed, Use case, Source

Ideal customer profile2 records

Each record includes

Profile, Firmographic size, Sales motion, Sales cycle length, Buying structure, Purchase trigger, Buyer persona, Geography, Industry vertical, Primary use case, Description, Pain points, Evidence proof points, Target buyer

Technology focused
Yes
API detail
Has APIbool
No

Docs URL, Description

Integration5 records

Each record includes

Title, Type, Description, Source

AI maturity
App detail

Has app

Feature3 records

Each record includes

Title, Differentiator, Description, Source

Core technology
Revenue estimate
Valuation estimate
Number of profiles
Profiles3 records

Each record includes

Name, Designation, Designation category, Overview, Profile commentary, Source

No data
No data
Funding overview

Funding stage, Last funding date, Total funding USD

Funding rounds4 records

Each record includes

Round, Amount USD, Date, Pre money valuation, Total investors, Investors, News

Investors8 records

Each record includes

Name, Type, Date of entry, Rounds participated, Website

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Each record includes

Name, Acquisition type, Announced date, Completed date, Status, Website, News

Investment

Each record includes

Name, Round, Announced date, Lead investor, Website, News

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

UMA

Decentralized Oracle Infrastructureumaproject.org

UMA is a decentralized Ethereum protocol offering an Optimistic Oracle that settles natural-language real-world event disputes for builders like Polymarket, Across, Story Protocol, Rated, and Sherlock via tokenholder staking and voting.

What UMA does

UMA is a decentralized finance protocol founded in 2018 and operated by the Risk Labs Foundation, headquartered in New York with 11–50 employees. Its core product is the Optimistic Oracle (OO), a smart-contract-based verification system built on Ethereum that records arbitrary natural-language statements — about elections, sports, weather, or any universally verifiable event — onto a blockchain through a four-stage process: statement proposal with a posted bond, an optimistic challenge period, optional dispute, and tokenholder voting. UMA token holders stake $UMA, vote on contested statements, and earn up to 16% APR, providing the human/economic backstop for the system.

The protocol serves as oracle infrastructure for builders rather than end users. Named integrators include Polymarket (the dominant prediction-market platform), Across (cross-chain bridging), Story Protocol (IP and content rights), Rated (network analytics), and Sherlock (smart-contract audit/insurance). In April 2026 alone, more than 230 contracts worth over $1 billion in combined trading volume were resolved through UMA's OO voting on Polymarket, and roughly 2,000 contracts have been adjudicated over the prior year.

UMA's business model is protocol-native rather than SaaS: the OO is free at point of use, funded through bond-based dispute bounties and staking rewards rather than direct user fees. The platform pursues an API-first, developer-self-serve go-to-market motion via docs.uma.xyz and oracle.uma.xyz, with no direct sales overhead. Revenue accrues to token holders via staking rather than to a centralized operator. Strategic challenges include governance concentration (nine anonymous wallets reportedly controlling roughly half of Polymarket-resolution votes), a $37M token market cap that critics argue is economically thin relative to dispute volume, and paused governance reforms at Risk Labs to address these centralization concerns.

UMA firmographics

Firmographics
Name
UMA
Legal name
UMA
Website
https://umaproject.org
Company type
Private
Founded year
2018
Operating status
Operating
Headcount range
11–50 employees
Short description
UMA is a decentralized Ethereum protocol offering an Optimistic Oracle that settles natural-language real-world event disputes for builders like Polymarket, Across, Story Protocol, Rated, and Sherlock via tokenholder staking and voting.
Ownership category
akta.pro rank

UMA industry classification

Industry
Product category
Decentralized Oracle Infrastructure
NAICS
Computing Infrastructure Providers, Data Processing, Web Hosting, and Related Services (5182)
SIC
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (7370)
akta.pro primary industry
Oracle Networks & Off-Chain Data (price feeds, randomness, attestation) (FSAPABAE)
akta.pro secondary industries
Dispute Resolution & DAO Arbitration (courts, mediation) (FSAPAHAH), RWA Oracles, Data Attestation & Proof-of-Reserve/Proof-of-Collateral (FSADAEAM), Oracle Node Operators & Data Provider Networks (FSADAKAH)

Keywords

  • Decentralized oracle services
  • Optimistic verification protocol
  • Blockchain data verification
  • Smart contract oracle
  • Decentralized governance protocol

Where UMA is headquartered

Location

Headquarters

HQ city
New York
HQ country
United States
HQ region
North America

Markets served

UMA business model

Business model
GTM type
B2B and B2C
Offering type
Software
Cost components
Technology or R&D, Personnel, Operations, Marketing or Sales

Revenue model

  1. Staking Rewards for Voters: UMA token holders stake their tokens to participate in dispute resolution voting. Successful voters who vote with the majority earn rewards, gradually increasing their ownership percentage of the protocol. The staking mechanism provides up to 16% APR for active participants, funded through the protocol's economic model.
  2. Bond-based Dispute Resolution: Statements submitted to the oracle require a bond, which acts as a bounty for anyone who successfully disputes false claims. This creates an economic incentive mechanism where disputers can earn rewards by identifying incorrect statements, funded by the proposer's bond.

Pricing tiers

ModelBillingPrice
OtherPay-as-you-goVoter staking rewards of up to 16% APR

Go-to-market motion1 record

Distribution channels3 records

Marketing channels4 records

UMA product offering

Product offering

Core offering

UMA operates the Optimistic Oracle (OO), a decentralized oracle protocol built on Ethereum that records any verifiable truth or data on-chain through a four-stage process: (1) a natural-language statement is proposed with a bond, (2) an open challenge period elapses, (3) any party may dispute, and (4) UMA tokenholders vote to resolve disputes and earn rewards. The protocol serves as backbone infrastructure for prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain bridges, and real-world asset tokenization, with a token-incentivized voter app for governance participation.

Product overview

UMA is a decentralized finance protocol built on Ethereum that provides an Optimistic Oracle system for recording verifiable truths and data onto blockchains. The core product, the Optimistic Oracle (OO), operates through a multi-stage verification process where statements are proposed, challenged during a dispute period, and resolved through tokenholder voting. The platform includes a Voter App for token holders to participate in governance and earn rewards, and serves as infrastructure for various builder applications including prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain communication, and real-world assets. Notable projects built with the OO include Polymarket, Across, Story Protocol, Rated, and Sherlock.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Products and services

  • Optimistic Oracle (OO) A decentralized oracle system built on Ethereum that records any verifiable truth or arbitrary data onto a blockchain through a four-stage optimistic verification process (statement proposal with bond, challenge period, dispute, tokenholder voting). It is designed for protocols and developers building prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain bridges, and real-world asset applications that need trustless verification of natural-language statements and event outcomes.
  • UMA Voter App A self-serve governance application that allows $UMA token holders to stake tokens, vote on oracle disputes, and earn rewards of up to 16% APR. Token holders who vote correctly and consistently earn higher APYs and gradually increase their ownership share of the protocol relative to inactive or unsuccessful voters.

Quantifiable outcome

  • Up to 16% APR for active stakers and voters on the UMA protocol
  • +2 more outcomes

Companies that use UMA

Customer profile

Named customers5 records

Segments4 records

Ideal customer profiles2 records

UMA technology and API

Technology

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API
No
API docs
API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

Integration5 records

Feature3 records

UMA partnerships and signals

Strategic signal

Partnerships

Six partnerships are on record, tiered core.

  • PolymarketcoreTechnology or IntegrationPolymarket is the primary and most high-profile platform built on UMA's Optimistic Oracle, using it to validate natural-language statements about real-world events for prediction market resolution. Polymarket processes billions in trading volume with disputes resolved through UMA governance voting. The platform is the largest web3 prediction market, having facilitated nearly $1B in U.S. presidential election bets as of September 2024.
  • AcrosscoreTechnology or IntegrationAcross protocol leverages UMA's Optimistic Oracle for cross-chain communication and liquidity optimization, using the oracle to verify state information and transaction proofs across different blockchain networks to enable secure bridging.
  • Story ProtocolcoreTechnology or IntegrationStory Protocol integrates with UMA's oracle infrastructure for verifiable data needs related to intellectual property management and on-chain content rights verification.
  • RatedcoreTechnology or IntegrationRated uses UMA's Optimistic Oracle for validating data related to blockchain network performance metrics and validator analytics, integrating the oracle into its DeFi analytics infrastructure.
  • SherlockcoreTechnology or IntegrationSherlock integrates with UMA's Optimistic Oracle for dispute resolution in smart contract security auditing and insurance coverage verification, using the oracle to validate claims and trigger payouts.
  • Risk Labs FoundationcoreStrategic or Co-development PartnerRisk Labs is the foundation and team behind UMA. Risk Labs' mission is to make global markets universally fair, accessible, secure, and decentralized. The foundation maintains the protocol, develops the Optimistic Oracle, and supports the UMA governance ecosystem through the voter app, docs, and blog. Risk Labs has paused promised governance reforms to address centralization concerns in the OO voting mechanism.

Scale indicators4 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights5 records

UMA competitors and assessment

Company assessment

Broad incumbents

  • Chainlink: The dominant decentralized oracle network for smart contracts, providing price feeds and off-chain data to DeFi and enterprise. Most direct competitor to UMA in the oracle category, though Chainlink focuses on numeric data feeds via aggregated node networks rather than UMA's natural-language optimistic verification model.

Others

  • Polymarket: Largest web3 prediction market and UMA's flagship customer/integrator. Not a direct competitor—Polymarket is a downstream consumer of UMA's oracle—but a critical ecosystem participant whose growth or migration decisions would materially affect UMA's trajectory.
  • LayerZero: Cross-chain interoperability protocol enabling message passing between blockchains. Comparable to UMA's cross-chain communication use case (e.g., the Across integration), though LayerZero is an infrastructure peer at the messaging layer rather than a true oracle competitor.
  • Wormhole: Cross-chain bridge and messaging protocol for asset and data transfer between blockchains. Comparable to UMA in the cross-chain data verification space, particularly relevant to UMA's Across integration, though Wormhole operates as a bridge rather than an oracle.

Direct peers

  • API3: Decentralized oracle using first-party data providers (Airnodes) to deliver signed API data on-chain without intermediary node operators. A direct oracle competitor with a different architectural approach (first-party versus optimistic), targeting similar DeFi and RWA use cases as UMA.
  • Band Protocol: Cross-chain decentralized oracle aggregating and connecting real-world data to smart contracts. Competes with UMA for DeFi and Web3 data feeds, with a delegated proof-of-stake consensus model rather than UMA's optimistic + tokenholder voting approach.
  • Tellor: Decentralized oracle network using a staking and dispute mechanism for off-chain data verification. Highly comparable to UMA's Optimistic Oracle—both use staked-token security and dispute resolution to validate data, though Tellor focuses more on numeric feeds and is a smaller, more crypto-native player.
  • Pyth Network: Decentralized oracle focused on low-latency market data for DeFi, built with first-party publisher contributions from trading firms. Comparable to UMA as a competing oracle architecture targeting DeFi applications, though optimized for high-frequency numeric price feeds rather than qualitative event resolution.

Emerging players

  • Kleros: Decentralized arbitration protocol using token-staked jurors to resolve disputes on-chain. Functionally similar to UMA's dispute resolution layer, and an emerging peer in the decentralized arbitration and oracle-adjacent space.
  • RedStone Oracles: Modular oracle network specializing in data feeds for DeFi, particularly L2-focused and RWA tokenization use cases. Emerging competitor overlapping with UMA's RWA and cross-chain segments, with a focus on push-based data delivery.

Market position

Strengths4 records

Weaknesses4 records

Competitive moat6 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights6 records

Customer concentration

UMA social profiles

Digital presence

UMA financial estimates

Financial estimate

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

UMA leadership team

Management profile

Number of profiles

Profiles3 records

UMA funding detail

Funding detail

Funding overview

Funding rounds4 records

Investors8 records

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

UMA M&A and investment

M&A and investment

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about UMA

What does UMA do?

UMA operates the Optimistic Oracle (OO), a decentralized oracle protocol built on Ethereum that records any verifiable truth or data on-chain through a four-stage process: (1) a natural-language statement is proposed with a bond, (2) an open challenge period elapses, (3) any party may dispute, and (4) UMA tokenholders vote to resolve disputes and earn rewards. The protocol serves as backbone infrastructure for prediction markets, insurance, cross-chain bridges, and real-world asset tokenization, with a token-incentivized voter app for governance participation.

Is UMA a public or private company?

UMA is a private company. It is classified as nonprofit foundation owned and is currently operating.

When was UMA founded?

UMA was founded in 2018. It employs 11 to 50 people.

Where is UMA based?

UMA is headquartered in New York, United States, in the North America region.

How does UMA make money?

Two revenue lines are on record. Staking Rewards for Voters are the primary driver. The others are bond-based Dispute Resolution.

Who are UMA's main competitors?

Chainlink is listed as a broad incumbent. Others are Polymarket, LayerZero and Wormhole. Direct peers are API3, Band Protocol, Tellor and Pyth Network. Emerging players are Kleros and RedStone Oracles.

Does UMA have an API?

No public API is recorded for UMA.

What industry is UMA in?

UMA's product category is Decentralized Oracle Infrastructure. Its primary akta.pro industry code is FSAPABAE, Oracle Networks & Off-Chain Data (price feeds, randomness, attestation), with a secondary code of FSAPAHAH, Dispute Resolution & DAO Arbitration (courts, mediation). Its NAICS code is 5182 and its SIC code is 7370.

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Live signals
AInvestThat 13% Ceasefire Odds Isn't a Fact — Here's the Machine That Produced ItPolymarket's 13% ceasefire odds by year-end are not a fact but a market price from a few hundred thousand dollars of volume. The contract requires an officially announced, mutually agreed halt, and the UMA oracle's token vote has been gamed, as seen in a March 2025 settlement flip. The article advises treating such probabilities as fragile inputs.Markets DailyUMA (UMA) Reaches 1-Day Trading Volume of $2.51 MillionUMA traded up 4.7% against the dollar on September 5th, with $2.51 million in 24-hour volume. The token is priced at $0.39, and its market cap is $35.67 million. UMA is a protocol for creating synthetic assets on Ethereum.The EconomistRules-based disorder: why prediction markets struggle if reality is contestedPrediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi face fundamental challenges when real-world outcomes are contested, as illustrated by the 2024 Venezuela presidential election where traders bet on competing claims of victory and Polymarket ultimately settled as a win for González after a disputed resolution process. The platforms, which processed $33bn and $14bn in trades respectively in June 2025, are expanding into murkier geopolitical and entertainment territory where rules for settlement are difficult to define, leading to multimillion-dollar disputes and credibility concerns. Both exchanges are raising valuations to around $40bn (Kalshi) and $15bn (Polymarket), with regulators like the CFTC now taking a more permissive stance under the Trump administration, but face ongoing challenges including insider trading, market manipulation, and reliance on cryptocurrency tokenholders like UMA for dispute resolution.AInvestWhat Price Will Bitcoin Hit in July? Reading the Rules Before the ChartPolymarket's Bitcoin price prediction contract for July 2026 hinges on ambiguous "hit" definitions and rule risks, with $67,500 commanding 73% probability due to concentrated liquidity, while $70k and $62.5k show more balanced 31-34% odds. Recent repricing has been sharp and divergent, with the $67,500 market experiencing a 35.5% probability increase in a single day amid over $14.1 million in total trading volume. The resolution depends on UMA's oracle interpretation of "hit," which remains undefined in the contract rules, with a rapid wick through $67,500 that reverses quickly identified as the ultimate stress test for ambiguous settlement terms.AInvestThe World Cup Was the Prediction Market Stress Test Nobody Is Talking AboutSpain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 World Cup final, resolving a reported $29 billion in prediction market trading volume across Kalshi and Polymarket. The article argues that while the clean result made settlement straightforward, prediction markets remain structurally vulnerable due to retail-dominated speculation lacking natural hedgers, and Polymarket's reliance on UMA's oracle (market cap ~$37M) to settle billions in dispute value represents a resolution layer that has not faced a genuine stress test. The author contends that the World Cup's unambiguous outcome masks unresolved risks that an ambiguous high-stakes event would expose.AInvestThe World Cup Crypto Volume Spike Doesn't Fix Structural FlawsThe 2026 World Cup generated $4.3 billion in speculative trading volume for crypto sports products including Polymarket and Chiliz, with Spain accounting for $618 million across 356 active markets on Polymarket alone. Analysis identifies two structural vulnerabilities: Polymarket's UMA-based Optimistic Oracle uses only $750 stakes to oversee billions in unresolved bets, creating economically insecure resolution mechanics, while Chiliz's mint-and-burn tokenomics create misaligned incentives between token holders who want team wins and the platform that benefits from ongoing minting activity through wins and losses. The article argues these high-volume events expose rather than resolve fragile incentive architectures, raising questions about long-term viability once the tournament's cultural momentum fades.AInvestSpain's Euro Dominance Exposes What's Wrong with Crypto Prediction MarketsSpain's Euro 2024 championship exposed structural flaws in crypto prediction markets, which priced outcomes based on speculative trader behavior rather than actual information. Prediction market volumes reached $130 billion through June 2026, but the absence of institutional hedgers like sportsbooks creates markets that function as speculation rather than genuine information aggregation. The article highlights that UMA's token-governed resolution system, with a $37 million market cap overseeing hundreds of millions in bets through vote-to-earn mechanisms, faces credibility concerns over its ability to provide unbiased outcome determination.AInvestA Retroactive FIFA Ruling Exposes Prediction Markets' Resolution ProblemFIFA overturned Folarin Balogun's red card under Article 27 via a retroactive ruling, clearing him to play after VAR's controversial initial decision. Prediction markets like Polymarket faced resolution ambiguity when pricing bets on this institutional decision, as conflicting FIFA communications created uncertainty about the actual outcome. The article highlights how Polymarket's $37M UMA oracle underpinning settlements struggles to securely resolve markets involving institutional rulings, exposing systemic vulnerabilities in token-weighted governance as the platform pursues a $15B valuation under CFTC scrutiny.AInvestESMA Didn't Ban Prediction Markets. The Structure Already Can't Protect Anyone.ESMA issued a statement on July 3 confirming that existing EU binary options rules, adopted in 2018 under MiFID II, may already apply to prediction market contracts depending on whether they have binary outcomes tied to regulated underlyings, without creating new restrictions. The article argues the actual threats to the prediction market industry are structural rather than regulatory, citing Polymarket's reliance on UMA's oracle system where just nine wallets control half of voting power and a single actor manipulated a $7 million contract in March 2025. The piece concludes that the resolution mechanism governing these contracts is economically insecure, with disputes totaling over $1.15 billion in the first five months of 2026, raising fundamental questions about whether prediction markets can ever be trusted.BitgetHow Prediction Markets Resolve: UMA Oracle ExplainedThis article explains how UMA's optimistic oracle resolves prediction market outcomes for Polymarket, describing the four-stage process of request, proposal, challenge window, and DVM token vote escalation. The article examines the system's strengths—99% of markets settle within hours without dispute—and its structural vulnerability: token-weighted voting can be concentrated and conflicted, with over half of disputed votes coming from the ten largest wallets. The piece analyzes notable failures including a 2026 Strategy Bitcoin sale market that resolved against documented regulatory filings, compares alternative settlement designs from Hyperliquid and Kalshi, and argues that resolution architecture is becoming a distinct product category as the sector matures.