Macrocosm

What Macrocosm does

Macrocosm is a Delaware-incorporated public benefit corporation, founded in 2023 and headquartered in Brooklyn, NY, that builds agent-based AI simulation software to model the global economy from the bottom up. The company emerged from a research group at Oxford's Institute for New Economic Thinking that had been developing complexity-economics models since 2008; it now sells to five enterprise verticals — asset managers, energy firms, central banks, insurance companies (insurers, reinsurers, Lloyd's syndicates), and policymakers. Customers use the simulations to stress-test portfolio exposure, underwrite supply-chain risk, forecast energy markets and the energy transition, and inform macroeconomic policy decisions under conditions where traditional DSGE/VAR models and extrapolative machine learning break down.

The product portfolio rests on a shared agent-based AI framework in which simulated agents behave like real economic entities (investing, competing, failing, responding to shocks) and is delivered through three product surfaces: a Supply Chain Risk Simulator spanning 80 countries and 49 sectors, an Energy Investment & Risk Simulator that operates as a 1:1 digital twin of the energy system with ML-powered Bayesian inference, and a Macroeconomic Forecaster that produces GDP, inflation, employment, and labor-market transitions from emergent agent behavior. Validation is published openly and is reinforced through white papers such as the Hormuz Closure Analysis Report. Supporting AI infrastructure includes Senior AI Researchers, ML-based Bayesian inference for calibrated probabilistic forecasts, and counterfactual simulation capabilities explicitly designed for novel shocks without historical precedent.

Macrocosm operates an enterprise sales-led motion with no public pricing; engagement is gated behind demo booking and white-paper downloads. The marketing approach relies on thought leadership through a Substack newsletter, research publications, and earned media in The Guardian, FT, Bloomberg, WSJ, NYTimes, and The Flux podcast. Strategic distribution signals include BCG as a partner/client logo and a December 2025 securities offering of nearly $4 million (approximately $2.6-2.83M sold to date), led by Aioi Nissay Dowa Insurance with participation from Dangerous Ventures and Inovia Capital. As a public benefit corporation the company is structured to balance financial and mission objectives around translating complexity-economics research into actionable economic decision tools.

Name

Macrocosm

Legal name

Macrocosm, Inc.

Website

https://macrocosm.group

Company type

Private

Founded year

2023

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

11–50 employees

Short description

Macrocosm builds agent-based AI simulation software that models the global economy from the bottom up, serving asset managers, energy firms, central banks, insurers, and policymakers with supply-chain, energy-market, and macroeconomic forecasting tools.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Economic Risk Simulation Software

NAICS

Portfolio Management and Investment Advice (523940), Miscellaneous Financial Investment Activities (523999)

SIC

Investment Advice (6282)

akta.pro primary industry

Economic & Macroeconomic Research (BPAHALAD)

akta.pro secondary industry

Model Risk Management & AI Governance (validation, monitoring, explainability) (FSAGAFAL)

Keywords

• Agent-based simulation
• Economic risk modeling
• Supply chain analytics
• Macroeconomic forecasting
• Complexity economics software

Headquarters

HQ city

Brooklyn

HQ country

United States

HQ region

North America

Offices1 record

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Software

Cost components

Personnel, Technology or R&D, Marketing or Sales, Operations, Infrastructure

Revenue model

1. Enterprise Simulation Services: B2B subscription or project-based services providing access to proprietary agent-based simulation platforms for supply chain risk, energy investment, and macroeconomic forecasting. Revenue likely generated through enterprise contracts with asset managers, energy firms, central banks, insurance companies, and policymakers.

Go-to-market motion3 records

Distribution channels1 record

Marketing channels5 records

Core offering

Macrocosm develops and sells agent-based AI simulation platforms that model the world economy from the bottom up, enabling enterprises and policymakers to quantify risk from supply chain shocks, energy market dynamics, and macroeconomic shifts. Its three core products (Supply Chain Risk Simulator, Energy Investment & Risk Simulator, and Macroeconomic Forecaster) share a unified complexity-economics framework validated through openly published benchmarking.

Product overview

Macrocosm is a public benefit corporation founded in 2023 that offers a suite of agent-based AI simulation solutions for economic decision-making. The company provides three core products: the Supply Chain Risk Simulator, the Energy Investment & Risk Simulator, and the Macroeconomic Forecaster. These products share a unified agent-based AI framework that integrates climate, macroeconomic, and geopolitical risk into a single testable framework. The Supply Chain Risk Simulator quantifies financial impact of supply shocks, the Energy Investment & Risk Simulator provides energy market forecasts using a digital twin approach, and the Macroeconomic Forecaster produces bottom-up behavioral simulations of key macro indicators. All products are built on complexity economics principles using adaptable AI agents that behave like real economic entities.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Products and services

• Supply Chain Risk Simulator Quantifies financial impact of supply shocks before they occur by simulating cascading ripples through the supply network. Tracks how disruptions propagate week by week across 80 countries and 49 sectors, with impact quantified at firm, sector, country, or regional granularity. Used by insurers, reinsurers, and Lloyd's syndicates for underwriting, accumulation analysis, stress testing, and regulatory reporting.
• Energy Investment & Risk Simulator A 1:1 digital twin of the energy system built for investment and risk decisions. Defines every generator, transmission line, and market participant with physical and economic causality, runs counterfactuals, adapts to new information via ML-powered Bayesian inference, and trains decision-making bidding agents. Used by energy firms and infrastructure investors for probabilistic forecasts with calibrated uncertainty.
• Macroeconomic Forecaster Provides forecasts of key macro indicators (GDP, inflation, employment, labor market transitions) using bottom-up behavioral simulation. Emergent aggregates are generated from simulated agent behavior to capture trends even when the economy is pushed out of equilibrium. Used by central banks and asset managers to model nonlinear responses, occupational mobility, and sectoral dynamics under novel shocks.

Quantifiable outcome

• A 15-week Strait of Hormuz conflict is 2.4 times more damaging than an 8-week one (not proportionally worse, but dramatically so)
• +2 more outcomes

Named customers4 records

Segments5 records

Ideal customer profiles5 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability6 records

Feature4 records

Partnerships

Three partnerships are on record, tiered core and minor.

• BCG (Boston Consulting Group)coreStrategic or Co-development PartnerBCG appears as a selected partner/client logo on the Macrocosm website, suggesting a strategic relationship possibly involving client referrals, co-development, or consulting collaboration around complexity economics applications.
• CP FoundationminorStrategic or Co-development PartnerCP Foundation appears as a partner/client logo on the Macrocosm website. Nature of partnership not explicitly detailed in available sources.
• Anonymous Partner Logos (Partner 1, Partner 2)minorOthersTwo unnamed partner logos appear in the selected partners and clients section. Partner identities not disclosed in available source content.

Scale indicators3 records

Recent moves6 records

Expansion highlights6 records

Direct peers

• Elementum: Supply chain risk management platform providing event-driven disruption monitoring and impact analytics for Fortune 500 enterprises. Direct competitor to Macrocosm's supply chain offering with overlap in supplier network exposure use cases.
• Energy Exemplar: Provider of Plexos and Aurora energy market simulation software, used by utilities, regulators, and traders for energy investment and risk decisions. Direct competitor to Macrocosm's Energy Investment & Risk Simulator.
• Cosmo Tech: French company providing digital twin simulation with agent-based modeling for industrial, energy, and infrastructure decisions. Closely aligned with Macrocosm on digital twin architecture and enterprise simulation-as-a-service business model.
• MBI Deep: Founded as agent-based economic modeling firm (acquired by Moody's in 2022). Built simulation models for financial and economic risk using bottom-up agent frameworks — the same architectural paradigm Macrocosm uses. Most direct comparable in methodology and customer base.
• Risk Methods: Supply chain risk management vendor serving enterprise procurement and supply chain teams with disruption monitoring and risk analytics. Adjacent competitor to Macrocosm's Supply Chain Risk Simulator with established enterprise customer base.
• Resilinc: Supply chain risk management platform providing multi-tier supplier visibility, disruption monitoring, and impact analytics. Direct competitor to Macrocosm's Supply Chain Risk Simulator for enterprise supply chain exposure use cases.

Broad incumbents

• Capital Economics: Independent macroeconomic research provider serving asset managers, banks, corporates, and governments. Comparable in macroeconomic forecasting business with established enterprise subscription model.
• Oxford Economics: Established macroeconomic forecasting and economic research firm serving enterprises, governments, and asset managers. Direct competitor to Macrocosm's Macroeconomic Forecaster with decades of customer relationships and proprietary datasets.

Emerging players

• KatRisk: Catastrophe and supply chain risk modeling firm using high-resolution simulation for insurance and reinsurance clients. Comparable in agent-based / simulation methodology and in serving insurance accumulation and stress testing use cases.
• Sandtable: Agent-based simulation platform for decision support across finance, defense, and public sector. Comparable in methodology (agent-based simulation) and customer segments (enterprise and government), though less commercially mature in economic forecasting.

Market position

Strengths4 records

Weaknesses4 records

Competitive moat5 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights6 records

Customer concentration

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles9 records

Funding overview

Funding rounds2 records

Investors3 records

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about Macrocosm