What CASSI AI LIMITED does

Cassi AI is a London-based private company that builds a probabilistic forecasting and decision-optimisation platform marketed as a "Superstrategy engine." The platform combines AI-driven analysis with collective intelligence from human experts, quantifying the probability of strategic outcomes, identifying the factors most likely to influence success, and continuously updating recommendations as new information emerges. Its core Cassi Platform supports use cases such as geopolitical risk assessment, scenario planning, treasury risk management, and capital allocation. A second product, Cassi Cygentic, extends the engine into the cybersecurity vertical, converting probabilistic forecasts into executable actions.

The company was founded in 2025 by Dr. Keith Dear, Al Brown, and John Hetherington following their spin-out from Fujitsu's Centre for Cognitive and Advanced Technologies, where their AI system "Cassie" won the Metaculus Forecasting Cup Q3 2024. Cassi targets government and defence agencies, financial institutions, and complex industrial customers via an enterprise field-sales motion with pilots. Revenue is generated through SaaS subscriptions and professional services, and the company reports it has been profitable since September 2025. In December 2025 Cassi closed a £500,000 pre-seed round led by Twin Track Ventures, with the NATO Innovation Fund participating as a limited partner.

Cassi has benchmarked its forecasting engine across multiple public competitions, placing second overall on ForecastBench (behind only xAI's Grok) and ranking in the top 2% of human forecasters in the Bridgewater x Metaculus 2026 tournament. The company is pursuing an ambitious £300m revenue target by 31 March 2028.

Name

CASSI AI LIMITED

Legal name

CASSI AI LIMITED

Website

https://cassi-ai.com

Company type

Private

Founded year

2025

Operating status

Operating

Headcount range

1–10 employees

Short description

Cassi AI is a London-based AI company that builds a probabilistic forecasting and decision-optimisation platform for government, defence, financial services, and critical infrastructure customers, combining AI analysis with collective intelligence to improve strategic and operational decisions.

Ownership category

akta.pro rank

Product category

Decision Intelligence Software

NAICS

Software Publishers (513210)

SIC

Services-Prepackaged Software (7372)

akta.pro primary industry

AI Observability, Monitoring & Evaluation Platforms (Drift, Quality, Safety) (HDAEANAF)

akta.pro secondary industries

iBPMS (Intelligent BPM Suites) & Process Automation Suites (HDAEAHAG), End-to-End Enterprise AI Platforms (MLOps & Model Lifecycle Management) (HDAEANAA)

Keywords

• Probabilistic forecasting
• Decision optimization
• Predictive analytics
• AI forecasting
• Strategic intelligence

Headquarters

HQ city

London

HQ country

United Kingdom

HQ region

Europe

Markets served

GTM type

B2B

Offering type

Software

Cost components

Technology or R&D, Personnel, Operations, Marketing or Sales, Infrastructure

Revenue model

1. Platform/SaaS Subscription: Probabilistic forecasting and strategy optimisation platform delivered as a service to enterprise customers in government, finance, and critical infrastructure sectors.
2. Professional Services & Consulting: Implementation support and consulting services for government, financial institutions, and complex industrial customers.

Go-to-market motion1 record

Distribution channels1 record

Marketing channels6 records

Core offering

Cassi AI builds a "Superstrategy" software platform that combines AI, probabilistic modelling, and collective intelligence to forecast outcomes, quantify risk, and recommend optimal strategic and operational decisions. The platform structures resolvable outcomes, aggregates human and machine forecasts weighted by track record, identifies the factors that most influence success, and continuously updates recommendations as new information arrives. It is sold as a service to enterprise and government customers, with a complementary Cygentic module that converts forecasts into actionable decisions, first deployed in cybersecurity.

Product overview

Cassi AI is a unified Superstrategy platform combining AI-powered probabilistic forecasting with collective intelligence. The core Cassi Platform delivers the foundational forecasting engine that outperforms human judgment by 50%, while the Cassi Cygentic module extends functionality by converting predictions into actionable strategies. The platform serves customers across multiple industries including defence, government, financial services, and critical infrastructure, helping organisations define resolvable outcomes, quantify success probability, and identify factors that most move the odds.

Differentiator

Problem solved

Functional benefit

Brands

• Cassi Cygentic: Cygentic turns prediction to action – first applied for cybersecurity. Part of Cassi's fully generalisable decision and strategy optimisation engine serving customers in multiple industries.

Products and services

• Cassi Platform A SaaS Superstrategy engine that combines AI and collective intelligence to deliver probabilistic forecasts, factor analysis, and continuous decision optimisation for organisations in government, defence, financial services, and critical infrastructure. It structures resolvable outcomes, aggregates human and machine forecasts weighted by track record, identifies the highest-impact factors influencing success, and flags shifting drivers in near real time.
• Cassi Cygentic An action-layer module on top of the Cassi forecasting engine that converts probabilistic predictions into executable decisions and controls. First deployed for cybersecurity, enabling decision-makers to act directly on probabilistic forecasts and operationalise risk responses.

Quantifiable outcome

• 50% improvement in forecast accuracy (75% vs 50% human accuracy)
• +2 more outcomes

Segments3 records

Ideal customer profiles3 records

Technology focussed Yes

API detail

Has API

No

API docs

API detail

Core technology

AI maturity

App detail

AI capability8 records

Feature6 records

Scale indicators7 records

Recent moves7 records

Expansion highlights6 records

Broad incumbents

• Palantir Technologies: Large-scale decision intelligence and analytics platform serving government, defence, and commercial enterprises. Highly comparable because both embed AI-driven decision support into high-stakes operational workflows, though Palantir operates as a much broader, more established incumbent.
• C3.ai: Enterprise AI application platform serving defence, financial services, energy and other verticals with predictive and operational AI. Comparable as an enterprise AI incumbent offering decision-support and forecasting capabilities to many of the same verticals Cassi targets.

Others

• Scale AI: AI data-labelling and evaluation infrastructure provider serving frontier AI labs, defence, and government. Comparable as a tangential ecosystem participant—Scale's evaluation/benchmarking work is used to validate AI systems, mirroring Cassi's continuous benchmark-driven improvement model.
• Fujitsu (Centre for Cognitive and Advanced Technologies): Japanese IT services major whose C-CAT unit incubated Cassi's core forecasting technology and where the founders previously led AI R&D. Comparable as the originating institution and as a broad incumbent that continues to operate adjacent AI and decision-support offerings in defence and enterprise.

Emerging players

• Polymarket: Prediction-market platform that aggregates probabilistic forecasts on real-world events. Comparable because it operates in the same forecasting/prediction category and competes for mind-share around probabilistic event outcomes, though it is consumer/investor oriented rather than enterprise SaaS.
• Primer.ai: AI platform for intelligence and defence analysts that automates reading, summarisation, and entity/event extraction at scale. Comparable because it sells AI-driven analysis to defence, intelligence, and security customers—an overlap with Cassi's defence and government segments.
• Cultivate (Quartz Insights): Decision intelligence startup that uses AI to surface insights and predict stakeholder behaviour inside enterprises. Comparable as an emerging AI-driven decision-support vendor competing for similar executive and risk-team buyers in finance and government.

Direct peers

• Predata: Geopolitical and event-risk forecasting platform using alternative data and quantitative signals to predict political, security and market events. Comparable as a B2B probabilistic forecasting platform targeting government, finance, and corporate risk teams—the same buyer profile as Cassi.
• Metaculus: Forecasting platform and community running tournaments that measure forecast accuracy. Directly comparable because Cassi's own AI 'Cassie' is benchmarked on Metaculus tournaments and the firm competes in the same forecasting competition ecosystem.
• Good Judgment Inc: Commercial superforecasting and geopolitical risk-prediction firm spun out from the Good Judgment Project. Directly comparable as a specialist provider of calibrated expert forecasting and probabilistic analysis to government, finance, and corporate clients.

Market position

Strengths5 records

Weaknesses5 records

Competitive moat5 records

Key risks6 records

Key highlights7 records

Customer concentration

• Xx.com/kpd_musing
• LinkedInlinkedin.com/company/cassi-ai-limited

Revenue estimate

Valuation estimate

Number of profiles

Profiles10 records

Funding overview

Funding rounds1 record

Investors1 record

Funding detail is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

M&A

Investments

M&A and investment is available on the Subscription and Enterprise plan.Contact sales →

Frequently asked questions about CASSI AI LIMITED